Match center
Start
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Estonia - Slovenia
93
:
62
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
2Slovenia — odds 3.00 · edge +3.1% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Estonia - Slovenia July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Estonia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Estonia
Slovenia
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Estonia
Overall
WLWLW
Net -1.5
Home
WLLL
Net -15.0
Away
WW
Net +12.0
Slovenia
Coach: Aleksander Sekulić
Overall
LWWWL
Net +26.0
Home
LWL
Net +39.0
Away
WWL
Net +13.0
Team stats
Estonia
Overall · Home/Away
Slovenia
50.0%H 0.0% · A 100.0%Win %75.0%H 50.0% · A 100.0%
-1.5H -15.0 · A 12.0Point differential26.0H 39.0 · A 13.0
85.8H 80.5 · A 91.0Points per game93.0H 96.0 · A 90.0
86.5H 88.0 · A 85.0Conceded80.0H 76.5 · A 83.5
63.5%H 47.5% · A 79.5%FG, %52.5%H 58.5% · A 46.5%
50.0H 0.01st half50.0H 50.0 · A 50.0
62.4H 70.7 · A 54.2Pace73.5H 68.4 · A 78.6
135.1H 123.4 · A 149.2Offensive rating128.1H 137.4 · A 119.9
136.2H 124.5 · A 150.5Defensive rating110.2H 118.2 · A 103.2
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Estonia
Total (over)
Slovenia
85.8
Points per game
93.0
75.0%
O 85.5
100.0%
75.0%
O 86.5
75.0%
75.0%
O 87.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 88.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 89.5srednee
75.0%
50.0%
O 90.5
75.0%
50.0%
O 91.5
75.0%
25.0%
O 92.5
75.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Estonia 44.0 / Slovenia 41.8
Estonia
Total (over)
Slovenia
50.0%
O 41.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 42.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 43.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 44.5
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Estonia — / Slovenia 47.8
Estonia
Total (over)
Slovenia
25.0%
O 41.5
75.0%
0.0%
O 42.5
75.0%
0.0%
O 43.5
75.0%
0.0%
O 44.5srednee
75.0%
Form and head-to-head • FIBA World Cup Qualification - 1st Round
Team stats
Estonia
LLWLLWLWLW
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:78.3 : 82.1
3 place, 6 pts
Slovenia
WWWWLLWWWL
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:90.9 : 82.6
1 place, 7 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Estonia 2, draws 0, Slovenia 1 (goals 256:275)
- Slovenia — Estonia2025-11-28 93:94
- Estonia — Slovenia2023-02-24 79:78
- Slovenia — Estonia2022-08-25 104:83
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Estonia - Slovenia
Basketball, Estonia - Slovenia, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 93 : 62, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Estonia - Slovenia, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.62
market consensus · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5
1.47
Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.94 51.6% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.96 51.0% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| — | — | 2.05 48.8% | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 2.60 38.5% | |
| — | — | 2.35 42.6% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | — | 2.70 37.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 148.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 149.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Over 164.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 166.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 168.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 162.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 164.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 166.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 168.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.42 70.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.49 67.1% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 11.00 9.1% | 2.56 39.1% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyEstonia - Slovenia
Estonia
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Estonia
Team 2
Slovenia
Estonia
Team comparison
Slovenia
4
Games
4
2
Wins
3
2
Losses
1
343
Scored
372
346
Conceded
320
6
Points
7
Estonia Slovenia 4 Games 4 2 Wins 3 2 Losses 1 343 Scored 372 346 Conceded 320 6 Points 7 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 41% 22% 37% Double chance 32% 38% 30% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289584' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');