Match center
Start
03.07.2026 13:30 UTC
03.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Finland - Hungary
85
:
77
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Finland — 81%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
💎 «Value»
2Hungary — odds 10.00 · edge +8.7% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Finland - Hungary July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Finland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Finland
Hungary
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Finland
Coach: Lassi Tuovi
Overall
WWWLL
Net +4.0
Home
WWW
Net +10.0
Away
WLL
Net -2.0
Hungary
Overall
LLWWL
Net +6.5
Home
LWW
Net +31.0
Away
LWL
Net -18.0
Team stats
Finland
Overall · Home/Away
Hungary
75.0%H 100.0% · A 50.0%Win %50.0%H 75.0% · A 25.0%
4.0H 10.0 · A -2.0Point differential6.5H 31.0 · A -18.0
78.5H 80.5 · A 76.5Points per game80.9H 85.5 · A 76.3
76.5H 75.5 · A 77.5Conceded77.6H 70.0 · A 85.3
42.3%H 43.0% · A 41.5%FG, %48.6%H 52.8% · A 44.5%
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half50.0H 75.0 · A 25.0
72.8H 71.7 · A 74.0Pace71.1H 68.8 · A 73.3
106.6H 108.3 · A 105.0Offensive rating115.4H 120.1 · A 111.1
103.9H 105.5 · A 102.3Defensive rating110.8H 115.3 · A 106.6
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Finland
Total (over)
Hungary
78.5
Points per game
80.9
75.0%
O 76.5
62.5%
75.0%
O 77.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 78.5
62.5%
50.0%
O 79.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 80.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 82.5
50.0%
0.0%
O 83.5
50.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Finland — / Hungary 41.0
Finland
Total (over)
Hungary
0.0%
O 40.5srednee
37.5%
0.0%
O 41.5
37.5%
0.0%
O 42.5
37.5%
0.0%
O 43.5
37.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Finland 43.0 / Hungary —
Finland
Total (over)
Hungary
75.0%
O 40.5
62.5%
75.0%
O 41.5
62.5%
75.0%
O 42.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 43.5
25.0%
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Match center
Finland - Hungary
Basketball, Finland - Hungary, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 85 : 77, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Finland - Hungary, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5
1.48
Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.81 55.3% | 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.94 51.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 150.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 151.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 152.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 2.17 46.1% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 159.5 | — | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 164.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 165.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 164.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 165.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.04 96.2% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 10.60 9.4% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFinland - Hungary
Finland
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Finland
Team 2
Hungary
Finland
Team comparison
Hungary
4
Games
4
3
Wins
2
1
Losses
2
314
Scored
326
306
Conceded
339
7
Points
6
Finland Hungary 4 Games 4 3 Wins 2 1 Losses 2 314 Scored 326 306 Conceded 339 7 Points 6 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 71% 16% 13% Double chance 44% 41% 15% Materialy po prognozam Sbornoy Rossii Bazarevicha pridetsya pomuchitsya v Bolgarii CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289570' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');