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Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
05.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round

Georgia - Spain

Basketball
Georgia
Georgia
91 : 89
Finished
Spain
Spain
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Spain — 74%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Georgia - Spain July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Georgia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 1.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 52.7%
2 47.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Georgia
5-5LWLWLLLWWW
points for 78.6points against 79.2
Spain

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Georgia
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Spain
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Georgia
171 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 76
  • Concedes: 95
Spain
190 points/match (over 1)
  • Scores: 109
  • Concedes: 81
Total line: 155.5 · projection from form: 180.5 · Over in 100% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Stadium Dvorets sporta (Tbilisi, Georgia), 8 000 zriteley (94% pri vmestimosti 8 539)
Referee Martinsh Kozlovskis (Latvia)
Start 05.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Georgia - Spain

Basketball, Georgia - Spain, 5 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 91 : 89 OT, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Georgia - Spain, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 150.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% —
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.41 70.9%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.08 48.1%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 3.10 32.3%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 1.70 58.8%
1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% —
1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 150.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 151.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 152.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 153.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 155.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 156.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 158.5 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% —
Over 160.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 155.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 156.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Under 158.5 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
Under 160.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 1.75 57.1% 3.85 26.0%
1.23 81.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.95 51.3% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Georgia
L
02.07 13:30 UTC Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Georgia 76:95 Ukraine
0 Wins
1 Losses
76.0 Scored
95.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Spain
W
02.07 15:00 UTC Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Spain 109:81 Denmark
1 Wins
0 Losses
109.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGeorgia - Spain

Georgia
0 matches total
Spain
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Georgia
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Spain
Georgia Team comparison Spain
5 Games 5
2 Wins 5
3 Losses 0
394 Scored 437
408 Conceded 336
7 Points 10
Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Georgia Spain 5 Games 5 2 Wins 5 3 Losses 0 394 Scored 437 408 Conceded 336 7 Points 10

Georgia Spain 5 Games 5 2 Wins 5 3 Losses 0 394 Scored 437 408 Conceded 336 7 Points 10