Match center
Start
03.07.2026 15:30 UTC
03.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Netherlands - Latvia
69
:
72
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
2Latvia — 70%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Netherlands - Latvia July 3, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Latvia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / 2 1.52
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.3%
1
39.3%
2
60.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Netherlands
Latvia
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Netherlands
Overall
LLWLW
Net +10.3
Home
LLW
Net +12.5
Away
LWW
Net +8.0
Latvia
Overall
LLLLW
Net -6.0
Home
LLL
Net -10.0
Away
LLW
Net -2.0
Team stats
Netherlands
Overall · Home/Away
Latvia
62.5%H 50.0% · A 75.0%Win %25.0%H 0.0% · A 50.0%
10.3H 12.5 · A 8.0Point differential-6.0H -10.0 · A -2.0
81.3H 83.0 · A 79.5Points per game79.5H 80.0 · A 79.0
76.1H 76.8 · A 75.5Conceded82.5H 85.0 · A 80.0
40.6%H 39.5% · A 41.8%FG, %43.0%H 45.0% · A 41.0%
75.0H 75.0 · A 75.01st half50.0H 50.0 · A 50.0
74.6H 77.0 · A 72.2Pace72.4H 73.0 · A 71.8
108.1H 104.6 · A 111.8Offensive rating109.7H 109.1 · A 110.2
101.2H 98.0 · A 104.7Defensive rating113.8H 113.3 · A 114.4
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Netherlands
Total (over)
Latvia
81.3
Points per game
79.5
75.0%
O 76.5
75.0%
75.0%
O 77.5
75.0%
75.0%
O 78.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 79.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 80.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 82.5
25.0%
37.5%
O 83.5
25.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Netherlands 43.9 / Latvia —
Netherlands
Total (over)
Latvia
62.5%
O 40.5
25.0%
62.5%
O 41.5
25.0%
62.5%
O 42.5
25.0%
62.5%
O 43.5srednee
25.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Netherlands — / Latvia 41.3
Netherlands
Total (over)
Latvia
25.0%
O 40.5
50.0%
12.5%
O 41.5srednee
50.0%
12.5%
O 42.5
50.0%
12.5%
O 43.5
50.0%
Form and head-to-head • FIBA World Cup Qualification - 1st Round
Team stats
Netherlands
WWLWWLWLLL
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:77.9 : 75.2
2 place, 6 pts
Latvia
WLWWLLWLLL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:81.4 : 79.7
3 place, 5 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Netherlands 1, draws 0, Latvia 2 (goals 237:249)
- Latvia — Netherlands2025-11-28 78:86
- Netherlands — Latvia2012-09-05 81:86
- Latvia — Netherlands2012-08-21 85:70
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Netherlands - Latvia
Basketball, Netherlands - Latvia, 3 iyulya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 69 : 72, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. ChM-2027 — Europe. Vo skolko nachalo matches Netherlands - Latvia, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.52
Fonbet · line only
1
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 135.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Over 137.5
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.30 76.9% | |
| — | — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 135.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 137.5 | — | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 160.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 161.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Over 162.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 159.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 160.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 161.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 162.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 2.35 42.6% | 3.06 32.7% | |
| 1.31 76.3% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNetherlands - Latvia
Netherlands
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Netherlands
Team 2
Latvia
Netherlands
Team comparison
Latvia
4
Games
4
2
Wins
1
2
Losses
3
337
Scored
318
322
Conceded
330
6
Points
5
Netherlands Latvia 4 Games 4 2 Wins 1 2 Losses 3 337 Scored 318 322 Conceded 330 6 Points 5 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 28% 16% 56% Double chance 22% 42% 36% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1289630' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');