Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Europe: World Cup - Qualifying - First qualifying round
Serbia - Bosnia i Gertsegovina
94
:
81
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Serbia — 91%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Serbia - Bosnia i Gertsegovina July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Serbia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
91.6%
2
8.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Serbia
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Serbia
Coach: Svetislav Pešić
Overall
LLWWL
Net -3.0
Home
LWL
Away
LWL
Net -6.0
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
Overall
WWLLL
Net +15.5
Home
WLW
Net +22.0
Away
WLL
Net +9.0
Team stats
Serbia
Overall · Home/Away
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
50.0%H 50.0% · A 50.0%Win %50.0%H 50.0% · A 50.0%
-3.0H 0.0 · A -6.0Point differential15.5H 22.0 · A 9.0
82.0H 84.0 · A 80.0Points per game79.5H 78.0 · A 81.0
83.5H 84.0 · A 83.0Conceded71.8H 67.0 · A 76.5
53.0%H 45.5% · A 60.5%FG, %60.0%H 72.5% · A 47.5%
0.0H 0.0 · A 0.01st half75.0A 50.0
64.4H 71.6 · A 57.2Pace59.0H 52.2 · A 65.8
128.8H 116.5 · A 144.0Offensive rating133.8H 151.1 · A 120.0
131.2H 118.6 · A 146.7Defensive rating120.7H 136.4 · A 108.3
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Serbia
Total (over)
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
82.0
Points per game
79.5
75.0%
O 77.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 78.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 79.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 80.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 81.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 82.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 83.5
50.0%
50.0%
O 84.5
25.0%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Serbia — / Bosnia i Gertsegovina 43.8
Serbia
Total (over)
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
25.0%
O 40.5
75.0%
25.0%
O 41.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 42.5
50.0%
25.0%
O 43.5srednee
50.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Serbia 46.0 / Bosnia i Gertsegovina —
Serbia
Total (over)
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
75.0%
O 40.5
50.0%
75.0%
O 41.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 42.5
25.0%
50.0%
O 43.5srednee
0.0%
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Serbia
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Serbia
170 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 97
- Concedes: 73
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
157 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 75
- Concedes: 82
Total line: 168.5 · projection from form: 163.5 · Over in 50% of recent games
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Serbia - Bosnia i Gertsegovina
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 161.5
1.52
Fonbet · line only
Over 162.5
1.48
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| — | — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | — | 2.60 38.5% | |
| — | — | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | — | 2.70 37.0% | |
| — | — | 2.35 42.6% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 161.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 162.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 163.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 164.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 165.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 166.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 167.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 168.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 169.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 170.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 171.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 172.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 168.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 169.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 14.00 7.1% | 16.00 6.3% | 11.00 9.1% | 14.40 6.9% |
Match center
Serbia
W
Serbia
97:73
Switzerland
1
Wins
0
Losses
97.0
Scored
73.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
L
Bosnia i Gertsegovina
75:82
Turkey
0
Wins
1
Losses
75.0
Scored
82.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySerbia - Bosnia i Gertsegovina
Serbia
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals