Match center
Start
05.07.2026 15:30 UTC
05.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished
European Championship. U20. Slovenia. Quarter-finals
Iceland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh)
73
:
76
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Iceland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh) July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Italy U20 (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / 2 1.47
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.8%
1
37.5%
2
62.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Iceland U20 (Zh)
7-3WLWWWWWWLL
points for 78.8points against 56.1
Italy U20 (Zh)
6-4WWLWLWWLWL
points for 77.1points against 69.2
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Iceland U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 0
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Italy U20 (Zh)
Back-to-back / no rest- Rest days: 1
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
Iceland U20 (Zh)
117.5 points/match (over 2)
- Scores: 57.5
- Concedes: 60
Italy U20 (Zh)
151 points/match (over 1)
- Scores: 60
- Concedes: 91
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Match center
Iceland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh)
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.47
Fonbet · line only
1
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 129.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Over 130.5
1.52
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.55 64.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 129.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 130.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 131.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 132.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 133.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 134.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 135.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 136.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 137.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 138.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 139.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 140.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 141.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 142.5 | 1.37 73.0% |
| Over 143.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 144.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 145.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 146.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 1.47 68.0% |
Match center
Iceland U20 (Zh)
L
W
Iceland U20 (Zh)
37:46
Poland U20 (Zh)
Iceland U20 (Zh)
78:74
Serbia U20 (Zh)
1
Wins
1
Losses
57.5
Scored
60.0
Conceded
50%
Win percentage
Italy U20 (Zh)
W
L
Italy U20 (Zh)
85:78
Serbia U20 (Zh)
Italy U20 (Zh)
60:91
Poland U20 (Zh)
1
Wins
1
Losses
72.5
Scored
84.5
Conceded
50%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyIceland U20 (Zh) - Italy U20 (Zh)
Iceland U20 (Zh)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals