Philippines: MPBL

09.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

09.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Finished

Philippines: MPBL

San Juan Knights - GenSan Warriors

Basketball

San Juan Knights

81 : 79

Finished

GenSan Warriors

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Juan Knights - GenSan Warriors July 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: San Juan Knights. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 57.9%

2 42.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

San Juan Knights

5-0WWWWW

points for 94.9points against 75.7

GenSan Warriors

4-1WWLWW

points for 94.0points against 78.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 09.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

San Juan Knights - GenSan Warriors

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.20 Fonbet · line only

1 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 159.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Over 160.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.75 57.1%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 159.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 160.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 165.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 166.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 168.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 169.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 170.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 171.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 172.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 159.5	1.83 54.6%
Under 160.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 165.5	1.77 56.5%
Under 166.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 168.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 169.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 170.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 171.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 172.5	1.85 54.1%