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International turnir. Cup BSKT
International turnir. Cup BSKT International
16.07.2026 08:00 MSK Match prediction
16.07.2026 08:00 MSK
Finished

International turnir. Cup BSKT

Alligators - Sharks

International Basketball
Alligators
Alligators
77 : 74
Finished
Sharks
Sharks
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Alligators — 53%

1 · Alligators53.4%
2 · Sharks46.6%

Model estimate: win Alligators 53.4%, win Sharks 46.6%. Model favourite — Alligators.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alligators - Sharks 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sharks.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sharks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.38
  • Glicko: Alligators 53.4% / Sharks 46.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 33.0%
2 67.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.33 ↓ 1.30
Победитель П2 3.00 ↑ 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 08:00 MSK
Form 5 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Alligators - Sharks

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 77:74
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alligators 71.1% 53.4% market and model agree
Sharks 28.9% 46.6%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.4% / 46.6% probabilities
Rating 1,717 / 1,450 Alligators / Sharks
RD 245 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,228-2,207 / 1,077-1,823 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 46.6%
1 2.80 Fonbet · value +49.5% · model 53.4%
Total
Over 134.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 135.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -1.5 2.20 45.5%
П1 -10.5 2.10 47.6%
П1 -2.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +1.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 +2.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +3.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 +4.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +5.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -1.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -10.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -2.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -5.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -6.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -7.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -8.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -9.5 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 134.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 135.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 136.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 137.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 138.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 139.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 140.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 141.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 142.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 143.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 144.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 145.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 146.5 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 147.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 148.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 149.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 150.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 151.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 2.80 35.7%
П2 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Alligators
W L
13.07 09:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Alligators 77:71 Sharks
13.07 08:00 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Alligators 62:71 LayonsLayons
1 Wins
1 Losses
69.5 Scored
71.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Sharks
L W L L W
15.07 11:00 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Sharks 76:78 Taygerz
15.07 09:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Sharks 75:68 LayonsLayons
13.07 11:00 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Sharks 61:71 LayonsLayons
13.07 09:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Sharks 71:77 Alligatorz
10.07 11:00 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Sharks 69:61 Taygerz
2 Wins
3 Losses
70.4 Scored
71.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlligators - Sharks

Alligators
1 matches total
Sharks
Alligators: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sharks: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Alligatorz 77:71 (13.07 09:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 148 goals (77:71, 13.07 09:30 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 09:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Alligatorz
77:71
Sharks