International turnir. Cup BSKT
International turnir. Cup BSKT International
14.07.2026 17:00 MSK
Finished

International turnir. Cup BSKT

Danube Tander - Serbian Piks

International Basketball
Danube Tander
Danube Tander
86 : 80
Finished
Serbian Piks
Serbian Piks
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Danube Tander65%

1 · Danube Tander ✓ Прогноз64.9%
market78%
2 · Serbian Piks35.1%
market22%

Model estimate: win Danube Tander 64.9%, win Serbian Piks 35.1%. Model favourite — Danube Tander.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Danube Tander - Serbian Piks 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Danube Tander.

Line favourite Fonbet: Danube Tander. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.18 / 2 4.30
  • Glicko: Danube Tander 64.9% / Serbian Piks 35.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 78.5%
2 21.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.33 ↑ 1.52
Победитель П2 3.00 ↓ 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 17:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Danube Tander - Serbian Piks

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 86:80
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Danube Tander 60.7% 64.9% market and model agree
Serbian Piks 39.3% 35.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 64.9% / 35.1% probabilities
Rating 2,073 / 1,633 Danube Tander / Serbian Piks
RD 208 / 181 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,656-2,489 / 1,272-1,994 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · no value · model 35.1%
1 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 64.9%
Total
Over 163.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 164.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П1 -10.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 +1.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +3.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +4.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +5.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +6.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -10.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -11.5 1.65 60.6%
П2 -2.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -3.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -4.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -5.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -6.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -7.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -8.5 1.94 51.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 163.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 164.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 165.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 166.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 167.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 168.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 169.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 170.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 171.5 2.13 47.0%
ТБ 172.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 173.5 2.07 48.3%
ТБ 174.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 175.5 2.25 44.4%
ТБ 176.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 177.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 178.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 179.5 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 163.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 4.30 23.3%
Match center
Danube Tander
W W W W W
14.07 14:10 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Danube Tander 82:71 Adriatik Kharrikeynz
09.07 18:00 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Danube Tander 6:3 Adriatik Kharrikeynz
09.07 16:40 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Danube Tander 88:80 Belgrad Uorriorz
07.07 15:50 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Danube Tander 88:73 Belgrad Uorriorz
07.07 14:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Danube Tander 91:90 Serbian Piks
5 Wins
0 Losses
71.0 Scored
63.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Serbian Piks
L W W L
13.07 16:40 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Serbian Piks 79:82 Balkan BleyzersBalkan Bleyzers
13.07 15:15 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Serbian Piks 89:85 Adriatik Kharrikeynz
07.07 17:10 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Serbian Piks 99:98 Adriatik Kharrikeynz
07.07 14:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Serbian Piks 90:91 Danube Tander
2 Wins
2 Losses
89.3 Scored
89.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDanube Tander - Serbian Piks

Danube Tander
1 matches total
Serbian Piks
Danube Tander: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Serbian Piks: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Danube Tander 91:90 (07.07 14:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 181 goals (91:90, 07.07 14:30 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 14:30 МСК International turnir. Cup BSKT
Danube Tander
91:90
Serbian Piks