IPBL
IPBL International
17.07.2026 05:05 UTC
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IPBL

Cheboksary (w) - Tambov (w)

International Basketball
Cheboksary (w)
Cheboksary (w)
- : -
Not started
Tambov (w)
Tambov (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tambov (w)58%

1 · Cheboksary (w)42.0%
market12%
2 · Tambov (w) ✓ Прогноз58.0%
market88%

Model estimate: win Cheboksary (w) 42.0%, win Tambov (w) 58.0%. Model favourite — Tambov (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cheboksary (w) - Tambov (w) 17 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tambov (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 12.0%
2 ✓ Прогноз 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.23 ↑ 2.40
Pobeditel P2 1.58 ↓ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 05:05 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Cheboksary (w) - Tambov (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cheboksary (w) 38.5% 42.0%
Tambov (w) 61.5% 58.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 42.0% / 58.0% probabilities
Rating 1,372 / 1,601 Cheboksary (w) / Tambov (w)
RD 180 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,013-1,731 / 1,305-1,897 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 58.0%
1 7.70 Fonbet · no value · model 42.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 167.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.60 62.5%
П1 -1.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +1.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 +10.5 2.70 37.0%
П2 +11.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 +2.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +3.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +4.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +5.5 1.58 63.3%
П2 +6.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +7.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +8.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +9.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -3.5 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 167.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 168.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 169.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 170.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 171.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 172.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 173.5 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 174.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 175.5 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 176.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 178.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 179.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 180.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 181.5 2.80 35.7%
ТБ 182.5 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 183.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 184.5 2.45 40.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 7.70 13.0%
П2 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Cheboksary (w)
W W L L L
17.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (w) 108:80 Yaroslavl (zh)
15.07 07:05 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (w) 92:82 Tomsk (zh)
15.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (w) 80:84 Tambov (zh)
15.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (w) 67:79 Yaroslavl (zh)
13.07 07:05 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (w) 100:103 Tomsk (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
89.4 Scored
85.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Tambov (w)
W W W W L
17.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 82:75 Tomsk (zh)
15.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 103:75 Yaroslavl (zh)
15.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 84:80 Cheboksary (zh)
15.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 106:78 Tomsk (zh)
13.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Tambov (w) 70:79 Yaroslavl (zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
89.0 Scored
77.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCheboksary (w) - Tambov (w)

Cheboksary (w)
3 matches total
Tambov (w)
Cheboksary (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tambov (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Tambov (zh) 75:95 (13.07 05:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 192 goals (98:94, 10.07 05:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (zh)
80:84
Tambov (zh)
13.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (zh)
75:95
Tambov (zh)
10.07 05:05 UTC IPBL
Cheboksary (zh)
98:94
Tambov (zh)