Match center
Start
12.07.2026 18:00 UTC
12.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished
IPBL
Kaluga (w) - Murino (zh)
89
:
84
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kaluga (w) - Murino (zh) 12 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kaluga (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.30
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
59.7%
2
40.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Kaluga (w) - Murino (zh)
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.30
Fonbet · line only
1
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.87
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.87
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.83
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.83
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 154.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +4.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 +5.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| П2 +6.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -10.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 -5.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -8.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 154.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 155.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 156.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 157.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 158.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| ТБ 159.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 160.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| ТБ 161.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| ТБ 162.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 163.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 164.5 | 1.46 68.5% |
| ТБ 165.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
| ТБ 166.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 167.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 168.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| ТБ 169.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| ТБ 170.5 | 2.52 39.7% |
| ТМ 154.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 | 2.30 43.5% |
Match center
Kaluga (w)
L
L
W
L
Kaluga (w)
77:86
VladiEast (zh)
Kaluga (w)
83:91
Murino (zh)
Kaluga (w)
36:27
VladiEast (zh)
Kaluga (w)
104:112
VladiEast (zh)
1
Wins
3
Losses
75.0
Scored
79.0
Conceded
25%
Win percentage
Murino (zh)
L
W
L
L
L
Murino (zh)
73:82
Norilsk (zh)
Murino (zh)
91:83
Kaluga (zh)
Murino (zh)
75:83
VladiEast (zh)
Murino (zh)
72:93
Norilsk (zh)
Murino (zh)
62:71
Norilsk (zh)
1
Wins
4
Losses
74.6
Scored
82.4
Conceded
20%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKaluga (w) - Murino (zh)
Kaluga (w)
1
matches total
Kaluga (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Murino (zh): 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Murino (zh) 83:91 (10.07 17:05 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
174 goals (83:91, 10.07 17:05 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Kaluga (zh)
83:91
Murino (zh)