IPBL
IPBL International
13.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

International Basketball
Kaluga (w)
Kaluga (w)
105 : 98
Finished
Norilsk (w)
Norilsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w) July 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kaluga (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 83.2%
2 16.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Match center

Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 162.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 163.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.76 56.8%
1.76 56.8%
2.40 41.7%
1.70 58.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%
2.13 47.0%
1.93 51.8%
1.75 57.1%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.87 53.5%
2.35 42.6%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 162.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 163.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 164.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 165.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 166.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 168.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 169.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 170.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 172.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 173.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 174.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 175.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 177.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 178.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 179.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 180.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.11 90.1%
5.50 18.2%
Match center
Kaluga (w)
W L L W L
12.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Kaluga (w) 89:84 Murino (zh)
12.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Kaluga (w) 77:86 Vladivostok (zh)
10.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Kaluga (w) 83:91 Murino (zh)
09.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Kaluga (w) 36:27 Vladivostok (zh)
07.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Kaluga (w) 104:112 Vladivostok (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
77.8 Scored
80.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Norilsk (w)
L W W W W
12.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 91:102 Vladivostok (zh)
12.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 82:73 Murino (zh)
10.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 105:90 Vladivostok (zh)
09.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 93:72 Murino (zh)
07.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 71:62 Murino (zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
88.4 Scored
79.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

Kaluga (w)
0 matches total
Norilsk (w)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history