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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 15:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 15:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Krasnodar - Tyumen

International Basketball
Krasnodar
Krasnodar
105 : 85
Finished
Tyumen
Tyumen
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Krasnodar — 53%

1 · Krasnodar53.3%
2 · Tyumen46.7%

Model estimate: win Krasnodar 53.3%, win Tyumen 46.7%. Model favourite — Krasnodar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnodar - Tyumen 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krasnodar.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Krasnodar 53.3% / Tyumen 46.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.37 ↓ 1.03
Победитель П2 2.85 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 15:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Krasnodar - Tyumen

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 105:85
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Krasnodar 89.7% 53.3% market and model agree
Tyumen 10.3% 46.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.3% / 46.7% probabilities
Rating 1,418 / 1,423 Krasnodar / Tyumen
RD 94 / 84 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,231-1,605 / 1,256-1,590 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +320.3% · model 46.7%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 53.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 180.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 181.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -10.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -11.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -12.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -13.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -14.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -15.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -16.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -17.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -18.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -19.5 1.43 69.9%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -20.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -21.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -22.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -23.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -3.5 2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 180.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 181.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 182.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 183.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 184.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 185.5 1.45 69.0%
ТБ 186.5 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 187.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 188.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 189.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 190.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 191.5 2.55 39.2%
ТБ 192.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 193.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 194.5 2.23 44.8%
ТБ 195.5 2.50 40.0%
ТБ 196.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 197.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.03 97.1%
П2 9.00 11.1%
Match center
Krasnodar
L L W L W
15.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 89:96 SamaraSamara
13.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 88:107 Kazan
13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 83:79 Tyumen
13.07 12:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 85:98 SamaraSamara
09.07 17:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar 95:88 Kazan
2 Wins
3 Losses
88.0 Scored
93.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Tyumen
L L L L W
15.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 79:93 Kazan
13.07 16:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 80:99 SamaraSamara
13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 79:83 Krasnodar
13.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 89:100 Kazan
10.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Tyumen 79:73 Kazan
1 Wins
4 Losses
81.2 Scored
89.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrasnodar - Tyumen

Krasnodar
3 matches total
Tyumen
Krasnodar: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Krasnodar 94:76 (09.07 15:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 230 goals (114:116, 07.07 15:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar
83:79
Tyumen
09.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar
94:76
Tyumen
07.07 15:00 МСК IPBL
Krasnodar
114:116
Tyumen