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Canada: KVBL
Canada: KVBL
05.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Canada: KVBL

Edmonton Stingers - Winnipeg Sea Bears

Basketball
Edmonton Stingers
Edmonton Stingers
98 : 100
Finished
Winnipeg Sea Bears
Winnipeg Sea Bears

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Edmonton Stingers - Winnipeg Sea Bears July 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Edmonton Stingers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / 2 1.98

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 51.4%
2 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins3
50.0%Win %50.0%
90.0Points per game88.3
95.9Offensive rating101.9
94.1Defensive rating103.8
1.7Point differential-1.7
53.0Assists51.5
129.5Rebounds133.5
34.0%3-pointers, %28.7%

Team form

Edmonton Stingers
Overall WWWWL Net -4.0
Home WWL Net -4.9
Away WWL Net -3.1
Winnipeg Sea Bears
Overall WLWWW Net +21.9
Home WWWW Net +41.0
Away LW Net +7.5

Team stats

Edmonton Stingers Overall · Home/Away Winnipeg Sea Bears
50.0%H 42.9% · A 57.1%Win %64.3%H 100.0% · A 37.5%
-4.0H -4.9 · A -3.1Point differential21.9H 41.0 · A 7.5
92.1H 88.4 · A 95.9Points per game99.7H 104.2 · A 96.4
94.1H 90.9 · A 97.4Conceded88.8H 83.7 · A 92.6
45.5%H 43.9% · A 47.1%FG, %48.6%H 49.7% · A 47.8%
28.6H 28.6 · A 28.61st half64.3A 37.5
86.7H 86.8 · A 86.5Pace84.2H 83.7 · A 84.6
106.3H 106.2 · A 106.3Offensive rating118.0H 118.6 · A 117.5
108.6H 108.6 · A 108.6Defensive rating105.1H 105.6 · A 104.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Edmonton Stingers Total (over) Winnipeg Sea Bears
92.1 Points per game 99.7
50.0%
O 92.5
64.3%
50.0%
O 93.5
64.3%
42.9%
O 94.5
64.3%
35.7%
O 95.5srednee
64.3%
35.7%
O 96.5
64.3%
35.7%
O 97.5
57.1%
28.6%
O 98.5
50.0%
21.4%
O 99.5
50.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Edmonton Stingers Total (over) Winnipeg Sea Bears
7.1%
O 105.5
42.9%
7.1%
O 106.5
42.9%
7.1%
O 107.5
21.4%
7.1%
O 108.5
14.3%
7.1%
O 109.5
14.3%
7.1%
O 110.5
14.3%
7.1%
O 111.5
14.3%
7.1%
O 112.5
14.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Edmonton Stingers 45.9 / Winnipeg Sea Bears 50.7

Edmonton Stingers Total (over) Winnipeg Sea Bears
42.9%
O 46.5
71.4%
42.9%
O 47.5
71.4%
28.6%
O 48.5srednee
64.3%
28.6%
O 49.5
64.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Edmonton Stingers 46.2 / Winnipeg Sea Bears 49.0

Edmonton Stingers Total (over) Winnipeg Sea Bears
50.0%
O 46.5
71.4%
50.0%
O 47.5srednee
64.3%
42.9%
O 48.5
50.0%
42.9%
O 49.5
50.0%

Form and head-to-head • CEBL

Team stats

Edmonton Stingers
WLWLLLWWWW
W 6 • D 0 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:93.7 : 95.1
5 place, 21 pts
Winnipeg Sea Bears
LLWLWWWWLW
W 6 • D 0 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:101.3 : 89.8
2 place, 23 pts
Head-to-head: 13 — Edmonton Stingers 8, draws 0, Winnipeg Sea Bears 5 (goals 1204:1139)
  • Winnipeg Sea Bears — Edmonton Stingers2026-06-20 107:86
  • Edmonton Stingers — Winnipeg Sea Bears2026-05-09 75:77
  • Winnipeg Sea Bears — Edmonton Stingers2025-08-10 77:97
  • Edmonton Stingers — Winnipeg Sea Bears2025-07-26 95:92
  • Winnipeg Sea Bears — Edmonton Stingers2025-06-22 85:98

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Edmonton Stingers
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Winnipeg Sea Bears
Well rested
  • Rest days: 5
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Edmonton Stingers
182.7 points/match (over 9)
  • Scores: 90.8
  • Concedes: 91.9
Winnipeg Sea Bears
186.5 points/match (over 10)
  • Scores: 99
  • Concedes: 87.5

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Edmonton Stingers - Winnipeg Sea Bears

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.87 53.5%
1.98 50.5%
Match center
Winnipeg Sea Bears
W W W L W
30.06 22:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears 107:96 Saskatoon Mamba
14.06 20:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears 107:88 Calgary SurgeCalgary Surge
12.06 22:00 UTC Canada: KVBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears 92:72 Calgary SurgeCalgary Surge
05.06 21:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears 91:97 Montreal AllianceMontreal Alliance
04.06 21:30 UTC Canada: KVBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears 117:88 Ottava BlekdzheksOttava Blekdzheks
4 Wins
1 Losses
102.8 Scored
88.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage