Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

23.05.2026 14:10 UTC

Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Gargzdai - Neptunas

Basketball

Gargzdai

- : -

Finished

Neptunas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gargzdai - Neptunas May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Neptunas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 8.4%

2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Gargzdai

no data

Neptunas

1-4WLLLL

points for 83.1points against 81.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Gargzdu arena (Gargzhdai)

Referee Simonavicius G. 🇱🇹 - Maciulis G. 🇱🇹 - Barkauskas J. 🇱🇹

Attendance 1 500

Start 23.05.2026 14:10 UTC

Match center

Gargzdai - Neptunas

Array

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 150.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Over 151.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.40 71.4%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.75 36.4%
	1.42 70.4%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.33 75.2%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.38 72.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 150.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 151.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 152.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 153.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 154.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 155.5	2.08 48.1%
Over 156.5	1.53 65.4%
Over 157.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 158.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 160.5	2.70 37.0%
Over 161.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 163.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 164.5	2.07 48.3%
Over 165.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 166.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 167.5	1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	11.00 9.1%
	1.01 99.0%

Match center

Gargzdai

21.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Gargzdai 73:100 Neptunas

0 Wins

1 Losses

73.0 Scored

100.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Neptunas

21.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 100:73 Gargzdai

1 Wins

0 Losses

100.0 Scored

73.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGargzdai - Neptunas

Gargzdai

1 matches total

Neptunas

Gargzdai: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Neptunas: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Neptunas 73:100 (21.05 13:50 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 173 goals (73:100, 21.05 13:50 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

21.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Gargzdai

73:100

Neptunas

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Gargzdai

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Neptunas

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 2:0 (8) Yonava

1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis

1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus

1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai