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Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
09.06.2026 13:50 UTC
Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Yuventus - Zhalgiris

Basketball
Yuventus
Yuventus
- : -
Finished
Zhalgiris
Zhalgiris

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yuventus - Zhalgiris June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zhalgiris. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 9.7%
2 90.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Yuventus
#7GP 3212-20
Zhalgiris
#1GP 3231-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

5Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
99.6Points per game78.8
130.4Offensive rating118.7
103.2Defensive rating150.1
20.8Point differential-20.8
72.8Assists50.3
91.5Rebounds78.8
41.0%3-pointers, %34.0%

Team form

Yuventus

Coach: Andrea Trinchieri

Overall WWWWW Net +30.0
Home WWWW Net +34.7
Away WW Net +24.8
Zhalgiris
Overall LWLWW Net -5.4
Home WWW Net +2.1
Away LLW Net -12.6

Team stats

Yuventus Overall · Home/Away Zhalgiris
97.4%H 95.0% · A 100.0%Win %43.6%H 47.4% · A 40.0%
30.0H 34.7 · A 24.8Point differential-5.4H 2.1 · A -12.6
92.2H 95.9 · A 88.0Points per game88.1H 88.6 · A 87.5
77.2H 78.6 · A 75.6Conceded90.8H 87.6 · A 93.8
53.9%H 55.3% · A 52.4%FG, %51.8%H 52.5% · A 51.2%
A 72.21st half59.0H 73.7 · A 45.0
71.5H 72.4 · A 70.6Pace74.5H 73.1 · A 75.6
128.4H 126.4 · A 130.7Offensive rating119.5H 121.6 · A 117.8
107.5H 105.9 · A 109.4Defensive rating123.2H 125.3 · A 121.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Yuventus Total (over) Zhalgiris
92.2 Points per game 88.1
76.3%
O 86.5
48.7%
68.4%
O 87.5
46.2%
65.8%
O 88.5
46.2%
63.2%
O 89.5
43.6%
57.9%
O 90.5srednee
38.5%
50.0%
O 91.5
38.5%
50.0%
O 92.5
35.9%
44.7%
O 93.5
33.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Yuventus Total (over) Zhalgiris
15.8%
O 102.5
10.3%
13.2%
O 103.5
7.7%
10.5%
O 104.5
2.6%
10.5%
O 105.5
2.6%
10.5%
O 106.5
2.6%
7.9%
O 107.5
2.6%
2.6%
O 108.5
0.0%
2.6%
O 109.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Yuventus 47.0 / Zhalgiris 44.8

Yuventus Total (over) Zhalgiris
63.2%
O 44.5
53.8%
52.6%
O 45.5srednee
46.2%
50.0%
O 46.5
46.2%
50.0%
O 47.5
41.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Yuventus 45.2 / Zhalgiris 41.9

Yuventus Total (over) Zhalgiris
71.1%
O 42.5
46.2%
63.2%
O 43.5srednee
43.6%
57.9%
O 44.5
41.0%
55.3%
O 45.5
30.8%

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Match center
Stadium Arena Utena (Utena)
Referee Racys S. 🇱🇹 - Vilius G. 🇱🇹 - Maciulis G. 🇱🇹
Start 09.06.2026 13:50 UTC
Match center

Yuventus - Zhalgiris

Array

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.44 69.4%
1.51 66.2%
1.58 63.3%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.52 65.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.35 74.1%
1.43 69.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.08 48.1%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 159.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 160.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 161.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 163.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 164.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 165.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 168.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 169.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 170.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 171.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 172.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 173.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 174.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 175.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) BetBoom Betcity Betfair Bettery Fonbet Leon
7.20 13.9% 6.75 14.8% 6.75 14.8% 6.80 14.7% 7.40 13.5% 7.60 13.2% 6.00 16.7% 9.50 10.5% 6.50 15.4%
1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.02 98.0% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Yuventus
L W L W W
07.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Yuventus 75:107 ZhalgirisZhalgiris
03.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Yuventus 103:90 NeptunasNeptunas
01.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Yuventus 84:102 NeptunasNeptunas
29.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Yuventus 86:83 NeptunasNeptunas
27.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Yuventus 96:83 NeptunasNeptunas
3 Wins
2 Losses
88.8 Scored
93.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Zhalgiris
W W W
07.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Zhalgiris 107:75 YuventusYuventus
26.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Zhalgiris 85:75 LitkabelisLitkabelis
20.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Zhalgiris 102:82 Yonava
3 Wins
0 Losses
98.0 Scored
77.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyYuventus - Zhalgiris

Yuventus
1 matches total
Zhalgiris
Yuventus: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Zhalgiris: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Zhalgiris 75:107 (07.06 11:50 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 182 goals (75:107, 07.06 11:50 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Yuventus
75:107
Zhalgiris
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Yuventus
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Zhalgiris

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 2:0 (8) Yonava
1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis
1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai
1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus