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Mali. Premer Division
Mali. Premer Division International
16.07.2026 15:00 UTC
16.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Mali. Premer Division

Stade - Djoliba AC

International Basketball
Stade
Stade
- : -
Not started
Djoliba AC
Djoliba AC
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Djoliba AC — 56%

1 · Stade43.5%
2 · Djoliba AC ✓ Прогноз56.5%

Model estimate: win Stade 43.5%, win Djoliba AC 56.5%. Model favourite — Djoliba AC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Djoliba AC (odds2.11) confidence 49%

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade - Djoliba AC 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Stade. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / 2 2.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 55.4%
2 ✓ Прогноз 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.67 → 1.67
Победитель П2 2.07 → 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Stade - Djoliba AC

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stade 55.4% 43.5% market favourite
Djoliba AC 44.7% 56.5% Glicko-противоход

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 43.5% / 56.5% probabilities
Rating 1,452 / 1,754 Stade / Djoliba AC
RD 203 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,046-1,859 / 1,351-2,157 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.09 market consensus · value +18.0% · model 56.5%
1 1.66 market consensus · no value · model 43.5%
Total
Over 134.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 136.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 -2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
П2 +2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 134.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 136.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 134.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 136.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8%
П2 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Stade
L
14.07 15:00 UTC Mali. Premer Division
Stade 46:49 Dzholiba
0 Wins
1 Losses
46.0 Scored
49.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Djoliba AC
W
14.07 15:00 UTC Mali. Premer Division
Djoliba AC 49:46 Stad
1 Wins
0 Losses
49.0 Scored
46.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade - Djoliba AC

Stade
1 matches total
Djoliba AC
Stade: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Djoliba AC: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Dzholiba 46:49 (14.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 95 goals (46:49, 14.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 15:00 UTC Mali. Premer Division
Stad
46:49
Dzholiba