International turnir. Cup BSKT
International turnir. Cup BSKT International
16.07.2026 10:40 UTC
Finished

International turnir. Cup BSKT

Olympia NS - Fortuna Basket

International Basketball
Olympia NS
Olympia NS
112 : 101
Finished
Fortuna Basket
Fortuna Basket
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Fortuna Basket57%

1 · Olympia NS43.1%
2 · Fortuna Basket ✓ Прогноз56.9%

Model estimate: win Olympia NS 43.1%, win Fortuna Basket 56.9%. Model favourite — Fortuna Basket.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olympia NS - Fortuna Basket July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olympia NS.

Line favourite Fonbet: Olympia NS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50
  • Glicko: Olympia NS 43.1% / Fortuna Basket 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 85.8%
2 ✓ Прогноз 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.35 ↑ 1.52
Winner 2 2.90 ↓ 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 10:40 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Olympia NS - Fortuna Basket

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 112:101
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Olympia NS 60.7% 43.1% market favourite
Fortuna Basket 39.3% 56.9% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 43.1% / 56.9% probabilities
Rating 1,319 / 1,730 Olympia NS / Fortuna Basket
RD 206 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 908-1,730 / 1,327-2,133 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · weak value +269.5% · model 56.9%
1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 43.1%
Total
Over 194.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 195.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
1.72 58.1%
2.05 48.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.70 58.8%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.68 59.5%
1.83 54.6%
2.23 44.8%
2.03 49.3%
2.03 49.3%
1.75 57.1%
2.15 46.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 194.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 195.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 196.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 197.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 198.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 199.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 200.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 201.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 202.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 203.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 204.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 205.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 206.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 207.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 208.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 209.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 210.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 211.5 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.08 92.6%
6.50 15.4%
Match center
Olympia NS
L W L L
16.07 08:00 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Olympia NS 110:113 Dinamo NS
10.07 10:40 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Olympia NS 115:101 Zvezda BalkanaZvezda Balkana
08.07 09:20 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Olympia NS 112:119 NS Bullz
08.07 08:00 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Olympia NS 82:83 Fortuna Basket
1 Wins
3 Losses
104.8 Scored
104.0 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Fortuna Basket
L W L W W
16.07 09:20 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Fortuna Basket 90:99 Dinamo NS
14.07 09:20 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Fortuna Basket 110:93 Dinamo NS
13.07 09:00 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Fortuna Basket 102:109 NS Bullz
08.07 08:00 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Fortuna Basket 83:82 Olimpiya NSOlimpiya NS
07.07 10:20 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Fortuna Basket 109:101 Zvezda BalkanaZvezda Balkana
3 Wins
2 Losses
98.8 Scored
96.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOlympia NS - Fortuna Basket

Olympia NS
1 matches total
Fortuna Basket
Olympia NS: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fortuna Basket: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Fortuna Basket 82:83 (08.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 165 goals (82:83, 08.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 08:00 UTC International turnir. Cup BSKT
Olimpiya NS
82:83
Fortuna Basket