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NBA
NBA USA
09.05.2026 19:00 UTC
09.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

NBA

USA

Indiana Fever - Minnesota Lynx

USA Basketball
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever
- : -
Finished
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana Fever - Minnesota Lynx May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Indiana Fever. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / 2 4.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin -40.0%
1 62.9%
2 37.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Indiana Fever
3-2WLLWW
points for 88.4points against 91.3
Minnesota Lynx
4-1WWLWW
points for 90.5points against 79.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Indiana Fever - Minnesota Lynx

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 1 1.86 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 207 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 208.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport
1.91 52.4% — —
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.91 52.4% — —
— 1.99 50.2% —
— 1.82 55.0% —
1.95 51.3% — —
— — 1.91 52.4%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.91 52.4% — —
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6%
1.91 52.4% — —
— 1.93 51.8% —
— 1.92 52.1% —
1.90 52.6% — —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport
Over 44.5 — 1.92 52.1% —
Over 209.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Over 211.5 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 2.00 50.0%
Over 212.5 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 215.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Over 216.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Over 218.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 219.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Under 44.5 — 1.82 55.0% —
Under 209.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Under 211.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% —
Under 212.5 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betsson CashPoint CloudBet Coral Dafabet
1.08 92.3% 6.89 14.5% 1.20 83.3% 5.75 17.4% 1.14 87.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.54 64.9% 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5%
6.25 16.0% 1.18 85.1% 4.50 22.2% 1.13 88.3% 5.20 19.2% 5.86 17.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.58 38.8%