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NBL1, South
NBL1, South Australia
09.05.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1, South

Australia

Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners

Australia Basketball
Bendigo Braves
Bendigo Braves
- : -
Finished
Ballarat Miners
Ballarat Miners

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bendigo Braves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 172.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 173.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport
1.94 51.7%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9%
1.89 52.9%
1.87 53.5%
1.78 56.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9%
1.89 52.9%
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 173.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 174.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 175.5 1.78 56.1%
Over 178.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 179.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 179.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 180.25 1.83 54.8%
Over 180.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 180.75 1.80 55.4%
Over 181.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 182.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 183.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 173.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 174.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 175.5 1.97 50.9%
Under 178.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 179.25 1.81 55.2%
Under 179.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.02 98.0% 1.14 87.5% 1.14 87.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 99.9% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.08 92.6%
10.00 10.0% 4.70 21.3% 5.25 19.1% 15.00 6.7% 21.00 4.8% 20.00 5.0% 17.00 5.9% 12.11 8.3% 5.30 18.9%
Match center
Bendigo Braves
L W W
02.05 09:00 UTC NBL1, South
Bendigo Braves 79:104 Hobart Chargers
01.05 10:30 UTC NBL1, South
Bendigo Braves 93:84 Northern Force
12.04 06:00 UTC NBL1, South
Bendigo Braves 86:75 Knox Raiders
2 Wins
1 Losses
86.0 Scored
87.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Ballarat Miners
L L
02.05 09:30 UTC NBL1, South
Ballarat Miners 67:98 Kilsyth Cobras
12.04 05:00 UTC NBL1, South
Ballarat Miners 75:96 Melbourne Tigers
0 Wins
2 Losses
71.0 Scored
97.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage