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NBL1, South
NBL1, South Australia
10.05.2026 04:30 UTC
10.05.2026 04:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1, South

Australia

Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues

Australia Basketball
Melbourne Tigers
Melbourne Tigers
- : -
Finished
Frankston Blues
Frankston Blues

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Melbourne Tigers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 04:30 UTC
Match center

Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Over 172.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9%
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.96 51.2%
1.82 55.0%
1.84 54.4%
1.89 52.9%
1.96 51.2%
1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9%
1.89 52.9%
1.79 55.9%
1.92 52.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.78 56.3%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 171.5 1.78 56.3%
Over 175.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 180.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 181.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 181.75 1.80 55.5%
Over 183.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 186.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 187.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 188.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 190.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 191.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 171.5 1.98 50.6%
Under 175.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 180.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 181.25 1.81 55.2%
Under 181.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 181.75 1.79 55.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.01 99.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.00 99.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
11.00 9.1% 2.73 36.6% 2.88 34.8% 2.50 40.0% 21.00 4.8% 17.00 5.9% 11.08 9.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8%
Match center
Melbourne Tigers
L W
03.05 04:30 UTC NBL1, South
Melbourne Tigers 80:105 Knox Raiders
12.04 05:00 UTC NBL1, South
Melbourne Tigers 96:75 Ballarat Miners
1 Wins
1 Losses
88.0 Scored
90.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Frankston Blues
L W
02.05 10:00 UTC NBL1, South
Frankston Blues 109:112 Nunawading Spectres
11.04 09:30 UTC NBL1, South
Frankston Blues 101:90 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
1 Wins
1 Losses
105.0 Scored
101.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage