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NBL1, South
NBL1, South Australia
08.05.2026 10:30 UTC
08.05.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1, South

Australia

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers

Australia Basketball
Mount Gambier Pioneers
Mount Gambier Pioneers
- : -
Finished
Hobart Chargers
Hobart Chargers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hobart Chargers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 34.1%
2 65.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 -1.0 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 -1.00 1.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 188.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Over 189.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport
1.83 54.6% —
1.89 52.9% —
1.82 55.0% —
1.72 58.1% —
1.87 53.5% —
1.92 52.1% —
1.92 52.1% —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5% —
1.82 55.0% —
1.82 55.0% —

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 190.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 190.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 190.75 1.80 55.4%
Over 196.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 197.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 198.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 199.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 201.5 1.82 55.1%
Over 203.5 1.82 55.1%
Over 204.5 1.98 50.6%
Under 190.25 1.81 55.2%
Under 190.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 190.75 1.79 55.9%
Under 196.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 197.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 198.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 199.5 1.82 55.1%
Under 201.5 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 BetBoom Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint
2.45 40.8% 1.46 68.5% 1.47 68.0% 2.50 40.0% 1.06 94.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.65 37.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.42 29.2%
1.48 67.6% 2.53 39.6% 2.60 38.5% 1.50 66.7% 7.29 13.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 5.14 19.5%
Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers
L W L L
03.05 04:30 UTC NBL1, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 99:112 Sandringham Sabres
02.05 10:00 UTC NBL1, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 111:108 Knox Raiders
12.04 04:30 UTC NBL1, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 86:89 Geelong Supercats
11.04 10:00 UTC NBL1, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 81:94 Diamond Valley Eagles
1 Wins
3 Losses
94.3 Scored
100.8 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Hobart Chargers
W L W
02.05 09:00 UTC NBL1, South
Hobart Chargers 104:79 Bendigo Braves
12.04 05:00 UTC NBL1, South
Hobart Chargers 75:90 Waverley Falcons
11.04 09:30 UTC NBL1, South
Hobart Chargers 105:89 Kilsyth Cobras
2 Wins
1 Losses
94.7 Scored
86.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage