Match center
Start
09.05.2026 11:00 UTC
09.05.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
NBL1, West
Willetton Tigers - Geraldton Buccaneers
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:
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Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Willetton Tigers - Geraldton Buccaneers May 9, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
8.4%
2
91.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Willetton Tigers
1-9WLLLLLLLLL
points for 73.6points against 91.1
Geraldton Buccaneers
2-3WWLLL
points for 98.4points against 94.9
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Willetton Tigers - Geraldton Buccaneers
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1
1.99
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.86
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.84
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.83
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 177.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
Over 178.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | |
| 1.71 58.4% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.82 54.9% | |
| 1.81 55.2% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.82 55.0% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | |
| 1.98 50.6% |
Total
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| Over 178.5 | 1.90 52.8% |
| Over 179.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 181.5 | 1.96 51.2% |
| Over 182.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 184.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 185.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 186.25 | 1.80 55.7% |
| Over 187.25 | 1.83 54.8% |
| Over 187.5 | 1.78 56.1% |
| Over 189.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 179.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 181.5 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Under 182.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 184.5 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 185.5 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 186.25 | 1.82 54.9% |
| Under 187.25 | 1.80 55.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betfair | Betsson | Bwin | CashPoint | CloudBet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.50 10.5% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 18.00 5.6% | 12.00 8.3% | 22.00 4.6% | 17.00 5.9% | 13.36 7.5% | 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.03 97.6% | 2.62 38.1% | 2.88 34.8% | 1.00 99.6% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.01 99.0% | 11.46 8.7% | 2.90 34.5% |
Match center
Willetton Tigers
W
W
02.05 12:00 UTC
NBL1, West
Willetton Tigers
112:81
Goldfields Giants
Goldfields Giants
10.04 12:30 UTC
NBL1, West
Willetton Tigers
121:115
Perth Redbacks
Perth Redbacks
2
Wins
0
Losses
116.5
Scored
98.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Geraldton Buccaneers
L
W
02.05 11:00 UTC
NBL1, West
Geraldton Buccaneers
87:97
Mandurah Magic
Mandurah Magic
11.04 11:00 UTC
NBL1, West
Geraldton Buccaneers
101:91
Perry Lakes Hawks
Perry Lakes Hawks
1
Wins
1
Losses
94.0
Scored
94.0
Conceded
50%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyWilletton Tigers - Geraldton Buccaneers
Willetton Tigers
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals