NBL1 Women, Central
NBL1 Women, Central Australia
09.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, Central

Australia

Norwood Flames (w) - Central Districts Lions

Australia Basketball
Norwood Flames (w)
Norwood Flames (w)
- : -
Finished
Central Districts Lions
Central Districts Lions

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norwood Flames (w) - Central Districts Lions May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norwood Flames (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Norwood Flames (w)
2-3LWLLW
points for 89.9points against 96.1
Central Districts Lions

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Norwood Flames (w) - Central Districts Lions

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 1 1.79 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 128.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 129.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.92 52.1%
1.71 58.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.74 57.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.94 51.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.83 54.7%
1.83 54.7%
2.02 49.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.77 56.7%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 129.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 134.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 136.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 137.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 139.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 141.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 144.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 152.25 1.82 55.0%
Over 152.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 153.75 1.82 55.0%
Under 129.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 134.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 136.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 137.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 139.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 141.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 143.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.01 99.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.00 99.6% 1.00 99.9% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
11.00 9.1% 3.70 27.1% 18.00 5.6% 21.00 4.8% 17.00 5.9% 17.00 5.9% 10.47 9.6% 3.55 28.2% 4.00 25.0%
Match center
Norwood Flames (w)
W L
02.05 08:30 UTC NBL1 Women, Central
Norwood Flames (w) 69:59 Sturt Sabres
11.04 08:30 UTC NBL1 Women, Central
Norwood Flames (w) 67:95 North Adelaide RocketsNorth Adelaide Rockets
1 Wins
1 Losses
68.0 Scored
77.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Central Districts Lions
W L
02.05 09:00 UTC NBL1 Women, Central
Central Districts Lions 80:73 North Adelaide RocketsNorth Adelaide Rockets
11.04 09:00 UTC NBL1 Women, Central
Central Districts Lions 69:82 Woodville WarriorsWoodville Warriors
1 Wins
1 Losses
74.5 Scored
77.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage