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Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
10.06.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff

Zvolle - Leyden

Basketball
Zvolle
Zvolle
- : -
Finished
Leyden
Leyden

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zvolle - Leyden June 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Zvolle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 59.8%
2 40.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

24Wins42
35.8%Win %62.7%
73.8Points per game76.0
89.7Offensive rating102.9
92.5Defensive rating99.8
-2.3Point differential2.3
49.0Assists50.5
96.5Rebounds89.5
46.3%3-pointers, %43.5%

Team form

Zvolle
Overall WLWWW Net +16.4
Home LWW Net +19.5
Away WWW Net +14.0
Leyden
Overall LWLWW Net +4.4
Home LLW Net +20.0
Away WWL Net -14.4

Team stats

Zvolle Overall · Home/Away Leyden
77.8%H 75.0% · A 80.0%Win %54.6%H 66.7% · A 40.0%
16.4H 19.5 · A 14.0Point differential4.4H 20.0 · A -14.4
74.9H 72.8 · A 76.6Points per game82.7H 88.0 · A 76.4
66.7H 63.0 · A 69.6Conceded80.6H 78.0 · A 83.6
45.6%H 46.0% · A 45.2%FG, %43.8%H 46.3% · A 40.8%
55.6H 50.0 · A 60.01st half45.5H 50.0 · A 40.0
71.3H 71.7 · A 71.1Pace75.5H 75.9 · A 75.1
105.6H 105.5 · A 105.7Offensive rating108.9H 108.5 · A 109.5
94.0H 93.9 · A 94.1Defensive rating106.0H 105.6 · A 106.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Zvolle Total (over) Leyden
74.9 Points per game 82.7
44.4%
O 75.5
63.6%
44.4%
O 76.5
63.6%
44.4%
O 77.5
63.6%
44.4%
O 78.5srednee
63.6%
44.4%
O 79.5
54.5%
33.3%
O 80.5
54.5%
33.3%
O 81.5
54.5%
33.3%
O 82.5
54.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Zvolle Total (over) Leyden
0.0%
O 102.5
18.2%
0.0%
O 103.5
18.2%
0.0%
O 104.5
18.2%
0.0%
O 105.5
18.2%
0.0%
O 106.5
18.2%
0.0%
O 107.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 108.5
9.1%
0.0%
O 109.5
9.1%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Zvolle — / Leyden 42.9

Zvolle Total (over) Leyden
33.3%
O 40.5
45.5%
33.3%
O 41.5
36.4%
33.3%
O 42.5srednee
27.3%
22.2%
O 43.5
27.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Zvolle — / Leyden —

Zvolle Total (over) Leyden
22.2%
O 40.5
54.5%
22.2%
O 41.5
54.5%
22.2%
O 42.5
54.5%
22.2%
O 43.5
54.5%

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Match center
Stadium Sportstsentrum (Zvolle)
Attendance 1 478
Start 10.06.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Zvolle - Leyden

Array

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%
2.35 42.6% 2.34 42.7%
Match center
Zvolle
W W W L
07.06 11:30 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Zvolle 75:61 LeydenLeyden
03.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Zvolle 86:68 LeydenLeyden
26.05 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Zvolle 86:71 DyukDyuk
22.05 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Zvolle 56:76 DyukDyuk
3 Wins
1 Losses
75.8 Scored
69.0 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Leyden
L L W L L
07.06 11:30 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Leyden 61:75 ZvolleZvolle
03.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Leyden 68:86 ZvolleZvolle
29.05 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Leyden 91:71 GroningenGroningen
19.05 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Leyden 85:94 LWD BasketLWD Basket
18.05 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Leyden 85:94 LWD BasketLWD Basket
1 Wins
4 Losses
78.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZvolle - Leyden

Zvolle
2 matches total
Leyden
Zvolle: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Leyden: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Zvolle 86:68 (03.06 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 154 goals (86:68, 03.06 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

07.06 11:30 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Zvolle
75:61
Leyden
03.06 16:00 UTC Netherlands: Premier League - Playoff
Zvolle
86:68
Leyden
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Zvolle
Data 0 / 0 / 3 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Leyden

Tournament bracket

1/4 Groningen streak Leyden
1/4 LWD Basket streak Dyuk
1/4 Den-Khelder streak Zvolle