New Zealand NBL
New Zealand NBL New-Zealand
09.05.2026 04:30 UTC
Finished

New Zealand NBL

New-Zealand

Bay Hawks - Otago Nuggets

New-Zealand Basketball
Bay Hawks
Bay Hawks
- : -
Finished
Otago Nuggets
Otago Nuggets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bay Hawks - Otago Nuggets 9 мая 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bay Hawks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 83.2%
2 16.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 04:30 UTC
Match center

Bay Hawks - Otago Nuggets

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1.0 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 161.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
П1 -1 2.00 50.0%
П1 -13 1.85 54.1%
П1 -2 1.80 55.6%
П1 -5.5 1.90 52.6%
П1 -6 1.80 55.6%
П1 -7.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -8 1.90 52.6%
П1 -8.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -1 1.73 57.9%
П2 -1.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -12.5 1.95 51.2%
П2 -13 1.85 54.1%
П2 -2 1.90 52.6%
П2 -5.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -6 1.90 52.6%
П2 -7.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -8 1.80 55.6%
П2 -8.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 162.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 163.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 164.5 1.98 50.4%
ТБ 165 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 165.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 166 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 167.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 171.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 177.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 183.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 163.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 165 1.77 56.5%
ТМ 165.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 166 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 167.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 171.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 177.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 183.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
П1 1.05 95.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.06 94.2% 1.08 92.9% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.08 92.6% 1.46 68.5%
П2 8.00 12.5% 2.42 41.4% 7.50 13.3% 7.25 13.8% 9.50 10.5% 13.50 7.4% 9.75 10.3% 9.25 10.8% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Bay Hawks
L L L
02.05 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Bay Hawks 91:93 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
14.04 07:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Bay Hawks 84:93 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
11.04 04:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Bay Hawks 95:101 Tauranga Whai
0 Wins
3 Losses
90.0 Scored
95.7 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Otago Nuggets
L W W
03.05 03:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Otago Nuggets 72:87 Canterbury Rams
01.05 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Otago Nuggets 99:96 Manawatu Jets
10.04 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Otago Nuggets 95:68 Southland SharksSouthland Sharks
2 Wins
1 Losses
88.7 Scored
83.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBay Hawks - Otago Nuggets

Bay Hawks
0 matches total
Otago Nuggets
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history