New Zealand. NBL
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Wellington Saints — 52%
Model estimate: win Bay Hawks 48.0%, win Wellington Saints 52.0%. Model favourite — Wellington Saints.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.12 47.2% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.64 61.0% | |
| — | — | 1.64 61.0% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 185.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 186.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 187.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 188.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 189.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 190.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 191.5 | — | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Over 192.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 193.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 194.5 | — | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Under 185.5 | — | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 186.5 | — | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 187.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 188.5 | — | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.80 14.7% | 6.80 14.7% | 14.00 7.1% | 14.00 7.1% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
Bay Hawks
Sautlend Sharks
Wellington Saints
Full head-to-head historyBay Hawks - Wellington Saints
The Bay Hawks - Wellington Saints breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
