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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
30.05.2026 05:30 UTC
30.05.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Canterbury Rams - Nelson Giants

Basketball
Canterbury Rams
Canterbury Rams
- : -
Finished
Nelson Giants
Nelson Giants

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canterbury Rams - Nelson Giants May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Canterbury Rams. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Canterbury Rams
7-3WLWWWLWWWL
points for 98.2points against 84.3
Nelson Giants
2-8LLLLWLLWLL
points for 85.0points against 90.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

Canterbury Rams - Nelson Giants

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.07 48.3%
2.30 43.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.55 39.2%
2.07 48.3%
2.30 43.5%
2.50 40.0%
1.78 56.2%
2.02 49.5%
1.42 70.4%
2.45 40.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 101.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 104.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 107.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 108.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 156.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 157.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 158.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 159.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 162.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 163.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 164.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 166.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 167.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 168.5 2.50 40.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
Match center
Canterbury Rams
W
22.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 100:93 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
1 Wins
0 Losses
100.0 Scored
93.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Nelson Giants
L
24.05 01:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Giants 63:88 Otago NaggetsOtago Naggets
0 Wins
1 Losses
63.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage