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New Zealand NBL
New Zealand NBL New-Zealand
09.05.2026 07:30 UTC
09.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

New Zealand NBL

New-Zealand

Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks

New-Zealand Basketball
Manawatu Jets
Manawatu Jets
- : -
Finished
Southland Sharks
Southland Sharks

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Southland Sharks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 6.04 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 166.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 167.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 167.5 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
Over 170.5 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%
Over 171 1.85 54.1% —
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 173.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 177.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 180 1.85 54.1% —
Over 181.5 1.91 52.4% —
Under 167.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 170.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 171 1.83 54.6% —
Under 171.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 173.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 177.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 180 1.85 54.1% —
Under 181.5 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
11.00 9.1% 4.90 20.4% 19.00 5.3% 5.75 17.4% 10.00 10.0% 13.50 7.4% 17.00 5.9% 47.82 2.1% 5.60 17.9%
1.01 99.0% 1.13 88.3% 1.00 99.9% 1.12 89.5% 1.03 97.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.01 99.0% 10.62 9.4% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Manawatu Jets
L L L
03.05 06:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Manawatu Jets 100:118 Southland SharksSouthland Sharks
01.05 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Manawatu Jets 96:99 Otago Nuggets
12.04 03:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Manawatu Jets 81:117 Wellington Saints
0 Wins
3 Losses
92.3 Scored
111.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Southland Sharks
W W L
07.05 07:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Southland Sharks 82:74 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
03.05 06:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Southland Sharks 118:100 Manawatu Jets
10.04 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Southland Sharks 68:95 Otago Nuggets
2 Wins
1 Losses
89.3 Scored
89.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyManawatu Jets - Southland Sharks

Manawatu Jets
1 matches total
Southland Sharks
Manawatu Jets: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Southland Sharks: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Southland Sharks 100:118 (03.05 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 218 goals (100:118, 03.05 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

03.05 06:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Manawatu Jets
100:118
Southland Sharks