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New Zealand NBL
New Zealand NBL New-Zealand
15.04.2026 07:00 UTC
15.04.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand NBL

New-Zealand

Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants

New-Zealand Basketball
Otago Nuggets
Otago Nuggets
- : -
Finished
Nelson Giants
Nelson Giants

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants April 15, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Otago Nuggets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 59.4%
2 40.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.04.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Otago Nuggets - Nelson Giants

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
1.57 63.7%
2.30 43.5%
Match center
Otago Nuggets
W
10.04 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Otago Nuggets 95:68 Southland SharksSouthland Sharks
1 Wins
0 Losses
95.0 Scored
68.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Nelson Giants
L
12.04 06:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Nelson Giants 85:86 Canterbury Rams
0 Wins
1 Losses
85.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage