New Zealand. NBL
Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Wellington Saints — 82%
Pure model vs market (1 · Wellington Saints): model 51% · market 86% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Wellington Saints 82.3%, win Tauranga Whai 17.7%. Model favourite — Wellington Saints.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Vellington Seynts: forma PVVVP (3-2)
- • Tauranga Whai: forma PPVPV (2-3)
- • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
- • Model backs Vellington Seynts: probability 67% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai July 18, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / 2 7.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
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Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 179.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — | — |
| Over 181.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 182.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 179.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 180.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 181.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 182.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 92.6% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.09 91.7% | |
| 6.10 16.4% | 5.50 18.2% | 7.00 14.3% |
Wellington Saints
Vellington Seynts
Auckland Tuatara
Manavatu Dzhets
Vellington Seynts
Auckland Tuatara
Manavatu Dzhets
Taranaki Airs
Nelson Dzhayents
Full head-to-head historyWellington Saints - Tauranga Whai