New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
18.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Not started

New Zealand. NBL

Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai

Basketball
Wellington Saints
Wellington Saints
- : -
Not started
T
Tauranga Whai
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Wellington Saints82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Wellington Saints): model 51% · market 86% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Wellington Saints ✓ Прогноз82.3%
market86%
2 · Tauranga Whai17.7%
market14%

Model estimate: win Wellington Saints 82.3%, win Tauranga Whai 17.7%. Model favourite — Wellington Saints.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Wellington Saints (odds1.48) Score 83:77 confidence 67%
  • Vellington Seynts: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • Tauranga Whai: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs Vellington Seynts: probability 67% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Wellington Saints. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / 2 7.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 86.4%
2 13.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Wellington Saints

no data

Tauranga Whai
4-6LLLWWLWLLW
points for 83.7points against 89.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Wellington Saints - Tauranga Whai

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Wellington Saints 84.6% 82.3% market and model agree
Tauranga Whai 15.4% 17.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 82.3% / 17.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,298 Wellington Saints / Tauranga Whai
RD 350 / 153 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 992-1,604 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.30 market consensus · no value · model 17.7%
1 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 82.3%
Total
Over 179.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 180 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 179.5 1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
Over 180 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 181.5 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 182.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 179.5 1.86 53.8% 1.84 54.4%
Under 180.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 181.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
Under 182.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7%
6.10 16.4% 5.80 17.2% 7.00 14.3%
Match center
Wellington Saints
L L W
10.07 05:30 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Wellington Saints 95:109 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
04.07 02:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Wellington Saints 59:109 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
14.06 04:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Wellington Saints 96:92 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
1 Wins
2 Losses
83.3 Scored
103.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Tauranga Whai
L L W L W
10.07 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 95:109 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
04.07 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 59:109 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
14.06 04:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 96:92 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
12.06 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 73:85 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
06.06 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 69:58 Nelson DzhayentsNelson Dzhayents
2 Wins
3 Losses
78.4 Scored
90.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage