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Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
06.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
06.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Batangas City

Basketball
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
16 : 23
Finished
Batangas City
Batangas City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Batangas City 6 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valenzuela City Darkhorse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins2
33.3%Win %66.7%
73.3Points per game76.7
101.4Offensive rating107.9
106.1Defensive rating103.2
-3.3Point differential3.3
51.0Assists50.0
119.0Rebounds144.0
23.3%3-pointers, %24.7%

Team form

Valenzuela City Darkhorse
Overall LWLWW Net +9.1
Home LLWW Net +13.6
Away WL
Batangas City
Overall WWWWW Net +30.1
Home WWW Net +19.1
Away WWW Net +44.3

Team stats

Valenzuela City Darkhorse Overall · Home/Away Batangas City
40.0%H 40.0% · A 40.0%Win %81.3%H 66.7% · A 100.0%
9.1H 13.6 · A 0.0Point differential30.1H 19.1 · A 44.3
89.7H 92.9 · A 83.2Points per game85.3H 76.2 · A 97.0
85.1H 86.1 · A 83.2Conceded70.3H 66.7 · A 74.9
43.3%H 44.6% · A 40.8%FG, %45.1%H 42.0% · A 49.1%
53.3H 50.0 · A 60.01st half75.0H 55.6
81.2H 81.7 · A 80.2Pace78.2H 76.0 · A 81.1
110.3H 109.6 · A 111.9Offensive rating109.4H 113.0 · A 105.1
104.8H 104.0 · A 106.3Defensive rating90.1H 93.1 · A 86.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Valenzuela City Darkhorse Total (over) Batangas City
89.7 Points per game 85.3
60.0%
O 83.5
43.8%
53.3%
O 84.5
43.8%
53.3%
O 85.5
43.8%
53.3%
O 86.5
43.8%
53.3%
O 87.5среднее
43.8%
53.3%
O 88.5
43.8%
53.3%
O 89.5
37.5%
53.3%
O 90.5
37.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Valenzuela City Darkhorse Total (over) Batangas City
6.7%
O 111.5
12.5%
6.7%
O 112.5
12.5%
0.0%
O 113.5
12.5%
0.0%
O 114.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 115.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 116.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 117.5
6.3%
0.0%
O 118.5
6.3%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Valenzuela City Darkhorse 42.9 / Batangas City 41.3

Valenzuela City Darkhorse Total (over) Batangas City
53.3%
O 40.5
37.5%
53.3%
O 41.5
37.5%
40.0%
O 42.5среднее
37.5%
40.0%
O 43.5
37.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Valenzuela City Darkhorse 46.2 / Batangas City 44.0

Valenzuela City Darkhorse Total (over) Batangas City
53.3%
O 43.5
56.3%
53.3%
O 44.5
50.0%
53.3%
O 45.5среднее
43.8%
46.7%
O 46.5
31.3%

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Valenzuela City Darkhorse
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Batangas City
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Valenzuela City Darkhorse
161.2 points/match (over 5)
  • Scores: 75
  • Concedes: 86.2
Batangas City
165.7 points/match (over 6)
  • Scores: 93.8
  • Concedes: 71.8

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 06.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Batangas City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 163.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Over 169.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -1.5 1.95 51.3%
П1 -11.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -12.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -13.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -17.5 1.83 54.6%
П1 -2.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +2.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -1.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -11.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -12.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -13.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -17.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -4.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -5.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -7.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 163.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 169.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 173.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 163.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 169.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 173.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.04 96.2%
П2 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
L W L W L
01.07 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 83:88 Marikina ShoemastersMarikina Shoemasters
10.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 88:85 Pasay VoyagersPasay Voyagers
04.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 70:89 Cebu GreatsCebu Greats
29.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 76:72 Paranaque PatriotsParanaque Patriots
19.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 58:97 Batang KankalooBatang Kankaloo
2 Wins
3 Losses
75.0 Scored
86.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Batangas City
W W W W W
02.07 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Batangas City 75:61 MeycauayanMeycauayan
13.06 12:41 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Batangas City 119:92 Negros HacienderosNegros Hacienderos
05.06 08:15 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Batangas City 102:67 Iloilo United RoyalsIloilo United Royals
02.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Batangas City 77:71 Mindoro TamarawsMindoro Tamaraws
26.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Batangas City 111:78 Bacolod MasskaraBacolod Masskara
5 Wins
0 Losses
96.8 Scored
73.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage