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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
23.05.2026 08:00 UTC
23.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Zamboanga Sikat - Abra Weavers

Basketball
Zamboanga Sikat
Zamboanga Sikat
- : -
Finished
Abra Weavers
Abra Weavers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zamboanga Sikat - Abra Weavers May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Abra Weavers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 10.9%
2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Zamboanga Sikat
1-4LLLWL
points for 80.3points against 85.6
Abra Weavers
2-3WLWLL
points for 84.7points against 76.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Zamboanga Sikat - Abra Weavers

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 132.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 136.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.68 59.5%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 132.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 136.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 137.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 145.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 148.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 151.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 157.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 158.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 159.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 166.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 167.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 132.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 136.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 137.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
Match center
Zamboanga Sikat
L
19.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 77:96 Cebu GreatsCebu Greats
0 Wins
1 Losses
77.0 Scored
96.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Abra Weavers
W
18.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Abra Weavers 105:79 Sarangani MarlinsSarangani Marlins
1 Wins
0 Losses
105.0 Scored
79.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage