Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
15.07.2026 12:30 MSK
Finished

Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup

Meralko Bolts - Feniks Fuelmasters

Basketball
Meralko Bolts
Meralko Bolts
97 : 98
Finished
Feniks Fuelmasters
Feniks Fuelmasters
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Meralko Bolts61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Meralko Bolts): model 48% · market 76% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Meralko Bolts ✓ Прогноз61.5%
market76%
2 · Feniks Fuelmasters38.5%
market24%

Model estimate: win Meralko Bolts 61.5%, win Feniks Fuelmasters 38.5%. Model favourite — Meralko Bolts.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Meralko Bolts (odds1.56) confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Meralko Bolts - Feniks Fuelmasters 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Meralko Bolts.

Line favourite Fonbet: Meralko Bolts. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / 2 3.75
  • Glicko: Meralko Bolts 61.5% / Feniks Fuelmasters 38.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 75.8%
2 24.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.37 ↑ 1.53
Победитель П2 3.10 ↓ 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 12:30 MSK
Form 4 matches
Match center

Meralko Bolts - Feniks Fuelmasters

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 97:98
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Meralko Bolts 62.5% 61.5% market and model agree
Feniks Fuelmasters 37.5% 38.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 61.5% / 38.5% probabilities
Rating 1,210 / 1,764 Meralko Bolts / Feniks Fuelmasters
RD 256 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 698-1,723 / 1,182-2,346 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 Fonbet · no value · model 38.5%
1 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 61.5%
Total
Over 185.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 186.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 -11.5 1.92 52.1%
П1 -4.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -5.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -6.5 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%
П1 -7.5 1.91 52.4%
П1 -9.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +11.5 1.88 53.2%
П2 +4.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +5.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +6.5 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
П2 +7.5 1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4%
П2 +9.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 185.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 186.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 187.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 188.5 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 189.5 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 190.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 191.5 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 192.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 193.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 194.5 1.53 65.4%
ТМ 191.5 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8%
ТМ 192.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.49 67.1% 1.51 66.2% 1.20 83.3% 1.36 73.5%
П2 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 3.75 26.7% 2.91 34.4%
Match center
Meralko Bolts
L W L
29.05 07:15 UTC+0 ФИЛИППИНЫ: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Плей-офф
Meralko Bolts 95:103 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
27.05 09:30 UTC+0 ФИЛИППИНЫ: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Плей-офф
Meralko Bolts 101:90 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
20.05 07:15 UTC+0 ФИЛИППИНЫ: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Плей-офф
Meralko Bolts 89:94 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
1 Wins
2 Losses
95.0 Scored
95.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Feniks Fuelmasters
W
11.07 12:30 МСК Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Feniks Fuelmasters 98:86 Magnoliya KhotshotsMagnoliya Khotshots
1 Wins
0 Losses
98.0 Scored
86.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage