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Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
09.06.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff

Arka Gdynya - Dziki Varshava

Basketball
Arka Gdynya
Arka Gdynya
- : -
Finished
Dziki Varshava
Dziki Varshava

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arka Gdynya - Dziki Varshava June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Arka Gdynya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 0.8%
1 52.8%
2 47.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Arka Gdynya
#648 ptsGP 3018-12
Dziki Varshava
#548 ptsGP 3018-12

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins6
0.0%Win %100.0%
76.8Points per game88.3
98.0Offensive rating102.3
112.6Defensive rating88.9
-11.5Point differential11.5
53.0Assists56.0
108.0Rebounds114.5
29.5%3-pointers, %36.8%

Team form

Arka Gdynya

Coach: Tane Spasev

Overall LLLWW Net +4.6
Home LLW Net +5.2
Away LWL Net +4.0
Dziki Varshava
Overall LLLWW Net +9.6
Home LWW Net +14.1
Away LLL Net +5.4

Team stats

Arka Gdynya Overall · Home/Away Dziki Varshava
55.3%H 63.2% · A 47.4%Win %56.8%H 66.7% · A 47.4%
4.6H 5.2 · A 4.0Point differential9.6H 14.1 · A 5.4
84.6H 84.0 · A 85.2Points per game89.7H 90.3 · A 89.1
82.3H 81.4 · A 83.2Conceded84.9H 83.3 · A 86.4
46.0%H 46.5% · A 45.5%FG, %45.5%H 45.9% · A 45.1%
71.1H 73.7 · A 68.41st half54.1H 55.6 · A 52.6
75.0H 74.2 · A 75.8Pace77.8H 78.0 · A 77.7
112.9H 114.7 · A 111.2Offensive rating115.4H 115.5 · A 115.4
109.8H 111.6 · A 108.2Defensive rating109.2H 109.3 · A 109.2

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Arka Gdynya Total (over) Dziki Varshava
84.6 Points per game 89.7
52.6%
O 83.5
62.2%
44.7%
O 84.5
59.5%
39.5%
O 85.5
54.1%
31.6%
O 86.5
51.4%
31.6%
O 87.5srednee
51.4%
31.6%
O 88.5
43.2%
26.3%
O 89.5
43.2%
21.1%
O 90.5
40.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Arka Gdynya Total (over) Dziki Varshava
5.3%
O 101.5
18.9%
5.3%
O 102.5
16.2%
5.3%
O 103.5
13.5%
5.3%
O 104.5
10.8%
5.3%
O 105.5
10.8%
2.6%
O 106.5
8.1%
2.6%
O 107.5
5.4%
0.0%
O 108.5
2.7%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Arka Gdynya 42.6 / Dziki Varshava 44.7

Arka Gdynya Total (over) Dziki Varshava
44.7%
O 42.5
56.8%
42.1%
O 43.5srednee
54.1%
34.2%
O 44.5
54.1%
34.2%
O 45.5
48.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Arka Gdynya 41.7 / Dziki Varshava 44.7

Arka Gdynya Total (over) Dziki Varshava
55.3%
O 41.5
73.0%
47.4%
O 42.5
64.9%
39.5%
O 43.5srednee
51.4%
31.6%
O 44.5
48.6%

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Match center
Stadium Polsat Plus Arena Gdynia (Gdynya)
Referee Puzon B. 🇵🇱 - Szczurewski T. 🇵🇱 - Pietrzak J. 🇵🇱
Attendance 2 711
Start 09.06.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Arka Gdynya - Dziki Varshava

Array

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.40 41.7%
2.60 38.5%
2.80 35.7%
2.35 42.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.52 65.8%
1.43 69.9%
2.15 46.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.38 72.5%
1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 160.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 161.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 162.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 163.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 164.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 165.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 168.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 169.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 170.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 171.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 172.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 173.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 174.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 175.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 176.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 177.5 2.17 46.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) BetBoom Betcity Betfair
1.87 53.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Arka Gdynya
L L W W
28.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 83:85 Zelena GuraZelena Gura
26.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 64:90 Zelena GuraZelena Gura
20.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 86:84 Shlensk VrotslavShlensk Vrotslav
18.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Arka Gdynya 86:75 Shlensk VrotslavShlensk Vrotslav
2 Wins
2 Losses
79.8 Scored
83.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Dziki Varshava
L L L W W
01.06 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 78:91 LegiyaLegiya
29.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 76:78 LegiyaLegiya
27.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 80:98 LegiyaLegiya
21.05 16:15 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 88:73 Trefl Sopot
19.05 14:00 UTC Poland: Basket Liga - Playoff
Dziki Varshava 85:78 Trefl Sopot
2 Wins
3 Losses
81.4 Scored
83.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Arka Gdynya
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Dziki Varshava

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Legiya 3:1 (9) Dabrova Gornicha
1/4 (4) Trefl Sopot streak (5) Dziki Warsaw
1/4 (3) Shlensk Vrotslav streak (6) Arka Gdynya
1/4 (2) Schechin streak (8) Zelena Gura