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Portugal: LPB - Playoff

14.06.2026 14:15 UTC

Finished

Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu - Benfika

Basketball

Portu

- : -

Finished

Benfika

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portu - Benfika June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.3%

1 81.7%

2 18.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

27Wins36

76.3Points on average78.6

Head-to-head matches: 63 · average total 154.9 (points)

Team form

Portu

3-2LWWLW

points for 88.3points against 81.6

Benfika

5-0WWWWW

points for 96.5points against 75.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Dragau Arena (Portu)

Referee Silva S. 🇵🇹 - Markesh P. 🇵🇹 - Jardim V. 🇵🇹

Attendance 1 839

Start 14.06.2026 14:15 UTC

Match center

Portu - Benfika

Array

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 144.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Over 145.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.35 74.1%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.55 39.2%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.50 40.0%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.90 34.5%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.60 38.5%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.85 35.1%
	2.40 41.7%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 144.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 145.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 146.5	1.47 68.0%
Over 147.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 148.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 149.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 150.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 151.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 152.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 153.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 154.5	3.00 33.3%
Over 155.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 156.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 157.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 158.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 159.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 160.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 161.5	2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Bettery	Fonbet	Leon
	2.83 35.3%	2.85 35.1%	2.65 37.7%	1.12 89.3%	2.77 36.1%
	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.42 70.4%	5.00 20.0%	1.43 69.9%

Match center

Portu

W W L W L

12.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 87:63 Benfika

09.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 102:98 Benfika

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 73:89 Benfika

29.05 17:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 86:76 Sporting

25.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu 73:88 Sporting

3 Wins

2 Losses

84.2 Scored

82.8 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Benfika

L L W W W

12.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 63:87 Portu

09.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 98:102 Portu

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 89:73 Portu

28.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 86:78 Oliveyrense

21.05 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Benfika 98:76 Oliveyrense

3 Wins

2 Losses

86.8 Scored

83.2 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortu - Benfika

Portu

3 matches total

Benfika

Portu: 2 (66.7%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Benfika: 1 (33.3%)

Biggest win Portu 87:63 (12.06 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 200 goals (102:98, 09.06 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu

87:63

Benfika

09.06 16:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu

102:98

Benfika

07.06 13:00 UTC Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Portu

73:89

Benfika

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Portu

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Benfika

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Benfika 2:0 (8) Braga

1/4 (4) Ovarenshe streak (5) Oliveyrense

1/4 (2) Sporting streak (7) Ezhgeyra

1/4 (3) Porto streak (6) Imortal