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Portugal: LPB - Playoff
Portugal: LPB - Playoff
23.05.2026 18:30 UTC
23.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Portugal: LPB - Playoff

Sporting - Portu

Basketball
Sporting
Sporting
- : -
Finished
Portu
Portu

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting - Portu May 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Portu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 10.7%
2 89.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sporting

no data

Portu
3-2LWWLW
points for 88.3points against 81.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

Sporting - Portu

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
2.35 42.6%
2.55 39.2%
1.82 55.0%
1.42 70.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.43 69.9%
1.35 74.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.68 59.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 151.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 156.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 157.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 158.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 159.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 160.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 162.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 163.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 164.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 165.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 166.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 167.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 168.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 169.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 170.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 171.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
1.02 98.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting - Portu

Sporting
0 matches total
Portu
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history