PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

14.07.2026 01:00 MSK Match prediction

14.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada

Basketball

Capitanes de Arecibo

86 : 98

Finished

Santeros de Aguada

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Capitanes de Arecibo — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Capitanes de Arecibo): model 48% · market 54% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Capitanes de Arecibo54.3%

2 · Santeros de Aguada45.7%

Model estimate: win Capitanes de Arecibo 54.3%, win Santeros de Aguada 45.7%. Model favourite — Capitanes de Arecibo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Capitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Capitanes de Arecibo.

Line favourite market consensus: Capitanes de Arecibo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / 2 2.04
Glicko: Capitanes de Arecibo 54.3% / Santeros de Aguada 45.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.5%

1 54.0%

2 46.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Capitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 86:98

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Capitanes de Arecibo 54.7% 54.3% market and model agree

Santeros de Aguada 45.3% 45.7%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 54.3% / 45.7% probabilities

Rating 1,241 / 1,335 Capitanes de Arecibo / Santeros de Aguada

RD 135 / 129 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 970-1,511 / 1,078-1,593 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 45.7%

1 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 54.3%

Total

Over 186.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Over 188.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1 +1.5	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%	—
П1 -1.5	1.79 55.9%	1.81 55.3%	—
П1 -2.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	—
П1 -3.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	—
П2 +1.5	1.88 53.2%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
П2 +2.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%
П2 +3.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—
П2 -1.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
ТБ 186.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 188.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%
ТБ 189.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 190.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%
ТБ 192.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%
ТМ 186.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%
ТМ 188.5	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%
ТМ 189.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%
ТМ 190.5	1.83 54.6%	—
ТМ 192.5	1.83 54.6%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1	1.68 59.5%	1.69 59.2%	1.74 57.5%
П2	2.03 49.3%	2.04 49.0%	1.98 50.5%

Match center

Capitanes de Arecibo

L W

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 79:83 Aguada Santeros

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 101:98 Aguada Santeros

1 Wins

1 Losses

90.0 Scored

90.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Santeros de Aguada

W L

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 83:79 Kapitanes De Arekibo

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:101 Kapitanes De Arekibo

1 Wins

1 Losses

90.5 Scored

90.0 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCapitanes de Arecibo - Santeros de Aguada

Capitanes de Arecibo

2 matches total

Santeros de Aguada

Capitanes de Arecibo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Santeros de Aguada: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Aguada Santeros 79:83 (12.07 01:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 199 goals (101:98, 10.07 01:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Kapitanes De Arekibo

79:83

Aguada Santeros

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Kapitanes De Arekibo

101:98

Aguada Santeros