PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

16.07.2026 01:00 MSK Match prediction

16.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada - Capitanes de Arecibo

Basketball

Santeros de Aguada

93 : 100

Finished

Capitanes de Arecibo

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Santeros de Aguada — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Santeros de Aguada): model 63% · market 58% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Santeros de Aguada ✓ Прогноз56.7%

2 · Capitanes de Arecibo43.3%

Model estimate: win Santeros de Aguada 56.7%, win Capitanes de Arecibo 43.3%. Model favourite — Santeros de Aguada.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Santeros de Aguada (odds1.64) confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santeros de Aguada - Capitanes de Arecibo 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santeros de Aguada.

Line favourite market consensus: Santeros de Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / 2 2.26
Glicko: Santeros de Aguada 56.7% / Capitanes de Arecibo 43.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 ✓ Прогноз 57.9%

2 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 16.07.2026 01:00 MSK

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Santeros de Aguada - Capitanes de Arecibo

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 93:100

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Santeros de Aguada 56.3% 56.7% market and model agree

Capitanes de Arecibo 43.7% 43.3%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 56.7% / 43.3% probabilities

Rating 1,392 / 1,179 Santeros de Aguada / Capitanes de Arecibo

RD 122 / 128 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,147-1,636 / 924-1,434 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: P1 | odds 1.64 | edge 4.6% | ROI 2.6% | BetBoom

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 43.3%

1 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 56.7%

Total

Over 186.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Over 188.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1 -1.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
П1 -2.5	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.77 56.5%
П1 -3.5	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%
П2 +1.5	—	—	1.87 53.5%
П2 +2.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%	1.95 51.3%
П2 +3.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
ТБ 186.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 188.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
ТМ 186.5	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%	1.83 54.6%
ТМ 188.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
П1	1.63 61.4%	1.64 61.0%	1.57 63.7%
П2	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.26 44.3%

Match center

Santeros de Aguada

W W L

14.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:86 Kapitanes De Arekibo

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 83:79 Kapitanes De Arekibo

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:101 Kapitanes De Arekibo

2 Wins

1 Losses

93.0 Scored

88.7 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Capitanes de Arecibo

L L W

14.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 86:98 Aguada Santeros

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 79:83 Aguada Santeros

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Capitanes de Arecibo 101:98 Aguada Santeros

1 Wins

2 Losses

88.7 Scored

93.0 Conceded

33% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySanteros de Aguada - Capitanes de Arecibo

Santeros de Aguada

3 matches total

Capitanes de Arecibo

Santeros de Aguada: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Capitanes de Arecibo: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Aguada Santeros 98:86 (14.07 01:00 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 199 goals (98:101, 10.07 01:00 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

98:86

Kapitanes De Arekibo

12.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

83:79

Kapitanes De Arekibo

10.07 01:00 МСК PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Aguada Santeros

98:101

Kapitanes De Arekibo