PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff
Leones de Ponce - San German
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Leones de Ponce — 62%
Model estimate: win Leones de Ponce 62.0%, win San German 38.0%. Model favourite — Leones de Ponce.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leones de Ponce - San German 16 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / 2 3.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Leones de Ponce - San German
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -10.5 | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| П1 -5.5 | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| П1 -6.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| П1 -7.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| П1 -8.5 | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| П1 -9.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.81 55.3% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 174.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 177.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| ТМ 174.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| ТМ 175.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 177.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% |
| П2 | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.82 35.5% |
Leones de Ponce
San-Kherman
San-Kherman
San-Kherman
San German
Leones Ponse
Leones Ponse
Leones Ponse
Full head-to-head historyLeones de Ponce - San German