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Superior Nasional
Superior Nasional International
17.07.2026 00:00 UTC
17.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Superior Nasional

Leones de Ponce - San German

International Basketball
Leones de Ponce
Leones de Ponce
- : -
Not started
San German
San German
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Leones de Ponce — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Leones de Ponce): model 56% · market 71% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Leones de Ponce ✓ Прогноз71.4%
market71%
2 · San German28.6%
market29%

Model estimate: win Leones de Ponce 71.4%, win San German 28.6%. Model favourite — Leones de Ponce.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leones de Ponce (odds1.57) confidence 63%

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leones de Ponce - San German 17 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Leones de Ponce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 71.1%
2 28.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.25 → 1.25
Победитель П2 3.55 → 3.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Leones de Ponce - San German

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leones de Ponce 72.6% 71.4% market and model agree
San German 27.4% 28.6%

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 71.4% / 28.6% probabilities
Rating 1,717 / 1,283 Leones de Ponce / San German
RD 262 / 262 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,192-2,241 / 759-1,808 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 28.6%
1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 71.4%
Total
Over 170.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 171.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -7.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
П1 -8.5 1.79 55.9% — —
П1 -9.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +7.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +8.5 1.89 52.9% — —
П2 +9.5 1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% —
П2 -1.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
П2 -10.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
П2 -11.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 -12.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
П2 -3.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
П2 -4.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
П2 -5.5 — — 2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 170.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 171.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 172.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 173.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 174.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 175.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 176.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 178.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
ТБ 179.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
ТМ 174.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
ТМ 177.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.23 81.3%
П2 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.71 27.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-5
2026-07-15 · Leones de Ponse 95:91 Atletikos de San-German
2026-07-13 · Leones de Ponse 115:96 Atletikos de San-German
2026-07-11 · Leones de Ponse 75:88 Atletikos de San-German
2026-05-23 · Leones de Ponse 68:84 Atletikos de San-German
2026-05-21 · Leones de Ponse 88:65 Atletikos de San-German
Source: ruscore
Leones de Ponce
W L L
15.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 94:91 San-GermanSan-German
13.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 91:95 San-GermanSan-German
11.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 75:88 San-GermanSan-German
1 Wins
2 Losses
86.7 Scored
91.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
San German
L W W
15.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
San German 91:94 Leones de PonseLeones de Ponse
13.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
San German 95:91 Leones de PonseLeones de Ponse
11.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
San German 88:75 Leones de PonseLeones de Ponse
2 Wins
1 Losses
91.3 Scored
86.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeones de Ponce - San German

Leones de Ponce
3 matches total
San German
Leones de Ponce: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
San German: 3 (100%)
Biggest win San-German 75:88 (11.07 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 186 goals (91:95, 13.07 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponse
94:91
San-German
13.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponse
91:95
San-German
11.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponse
75:88
San-German