Superior Nasional
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · Vaqueros de Bayamon): model 48% · market 46% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Vaqueros de Bayamon 55.2%, win Criollos de Caguas 44.8%. Model favourite — Vaqueros de Bayamon.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Vaqueros de Bayamon — 55%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
1Vaqueros de Bayamon — odds 2.00 · edge +5.2% · 2 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | 1.47 68.0% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 175.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 176.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 179.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Over 180.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 175.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 176.5 | — | 1.96 51.0% |
| Under 177.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 178.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 179.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 180.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.71 58.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
Vaqueros de Bayamon
Gigantes de Karolina
Gigantes de Karolina
Gigantes de Karolina
Gigantes de Karolina
Criollos de Caguas
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Kangrekheros de Santurse
Full head-to-head historyVaqueros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas
The Vaqueros de Bayamon - Criollos de Caguas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
