Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

URBO-NKL Lithuania

07.05.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

URBO-NKL

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

Lithuania Basketball

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

- : -

Finished

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė May 7, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 91.6%

2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 07.05.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

Form 3/4 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.65 market consensus · line only

1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.87 market consensus · line only

2 1 1.95 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only

1 1 1.70 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 146.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Over 147.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	1xBet	888Sport
	1.82 55.0%	—
	1.96 51.2%	—
	1.89 52.9%	—
	1.78 56.3%	—
	1.78 56.3%	—
	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%
	1.82 55.0%	—
	1.89 52.9%	—
	1.92 52.1%	—
	1.79 55.9%	—
	1.85 54.1%	—
	1.98 50.6%	—
	1.94 51.7%	—
	1.92 52.1%	1.80 55.6%
	1.92 52.1%	—
	1.85 54.1%	—

Total

Outcome	1xBet
Over 146.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 147.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 148.5	1.98 50.6%
Over 152.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 152.75	1.81 55.3%
Over 153.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 153.75	1.78 56.1%
Over 155.5	1.82 55.0%
Over 157.5	1.93 52.0%
Over 159.5	1.90 52.5%
Over 163.5	1.92 52.1%
Under 146.5	1.89 52.9%
Under 147.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 148.5	1.78 56.3%
Under 152.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 152.75	1.79 55.8%
Under 153.5	1.87 53.5%
Under 153.75	1.78 56.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betfair	Betsson	Bwin	CashPoint	CloudBet	Dafabet
	2.47 40.4%	1.01 99.0%	2.60 38.5%	1.04 96.2%	1.20 83.3%	1.01 99.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.08 92.8%	2.55 39.2%
	1.48 67.6%	11.00 9.1%	1.45 68.8%	9.50 10.5%	11.00 9.1%	17.00 5.9%	7.16 14.0%	7.25 13.8%	1.47 68.0%

Match center

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

L L W

02.05 11:10 UTC URBO-NKL

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis 65:67 Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

30.04 15:10 UTC URBO-NKL

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis 69:75 Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

12.04 16:30 UTC URBO-NKL

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis 80:71 Šakiai Vytis-VDU

1 Wins

2 Losses

71.3 Scored

71.0 Conceded

33% Win percentage

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

W W W W

02.05 11:10 UTC URBO-NKL

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė 67:65 Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

30.04 15:10 UTC URBO-NKL

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė 75:69 Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

14.04 15:00 UTC URBO-NKL

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė 76:72 KK Vilkaviškio Perlas

11.04 11:10 UTC URBO-NKL

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė 104:77 KK Vilkaviškio Perlas

4 Wins

0 Losses

80.5 Scored

70.8 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKlaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

2 matches total

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė 69:75 (30.04 15:10 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 144 goals (69:75, 30.04 15:10 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

02.05 11:10 UTC

URBO-NKL

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

65:67

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė

30.04 15:10 UTC

URBO-NKL

Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis

69:75

Sudūva-Mantinga Marijampolė