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WNBA
WNBA
16.07.2026 01:00 MSK Match prediction
16.07.2026 01:00 MSK
Finished

WNBA

Indiana Fiver (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Basketball
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
75 : 88
Finished
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Indiana Fiver (Zh) — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Indiana Fiver (Zh)): model 54% · market 52% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Indiana Fiver (Zh)52.0%
2 · Golden State Valkyries (w)48.0%

Model estimate: win Indiana Fiver (Zh) 52.0%, win Golden State Valkyries (w) 48.0%. Model favourite — Indiana Fiver (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Indiana Fiver (Zh) (odds1.85) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana Fiver (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w) 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Indiana Fiver (Zh).

Line favourite market consensus: Indiana Fiver (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / 2 2.02
  • Glicko: Indiana Fiver (Zh) 52.0% / Golden State Valkyries (w) 48.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 52.2%
2 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Indiana Fiver (Zh)
6-4LWWWWLLWLW
points for 96.8points against 92.7
Golden State Valkyries (w)
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
points for 79.9points against 75.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 01:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Indiana Fiver (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 2 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 75:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Indiana Fiver (Zh) 51.8% 52.0% market and model agree
Golden State Valkyries (w) 48.2% 48.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.0% / 48.0% probabilities
Rating 1,886 / 1,880 Indiana Fiver (Zh) / Golden State Valkyries (w)
RD 139 / 93 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,609-2,164 / 1,695-2,066 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.99 market consensus · no value · model 48.0%
1 1.85 market consensus · no value · model 52.0%
Total
Over 164.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 165.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Leon
П1 -1.5 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
П1 -2.5 1.90 52.6% —
П1 -3.5 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -4.5 — 1.96 51.0%
П2 +1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
П2 +2.5 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +3.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +4.5 — 1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Leon
ТБ 164.5 1.87 53.5% —
ТБ 165.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 166 — 1.89 52.9%
ТБ 166.5 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
ТБ 167 — 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 167.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 168 — 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 168.5 1.93 51.8% —
ТБ 169.5 1.90 52.6% —
ТМ 164.5 1.93 51.8% —
ТМ 165.5 1.90 52.6% —
ТМ 166.5 1.90 52.6% —
ТМ 167.5 1.90 52.6% —
ТМ 168.5 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 169.5 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
П1 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
П2 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
W W L W W
13.07 02:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh) 109:75 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
10.07 03:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh) 92:89 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
09.07 03:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh) 92:106 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
06.07 00:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh) 84:68 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
13.06 23:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh) 85:75 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
92.4 Scored
82.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Golden State Valkyries (w)
W W W W W
11.07 00:30 МСК USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 79:64 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
09.07 00:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 83:75 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
06.07 00:30 МСК USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 62:49 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
04.07 18:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 88:83 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
13.06 03:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 76:72 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
77.6 Scored
68.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIndiana Fiver (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Indiana Fiver (Zh)
2 matches total
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Indiana Fiver (Zh): 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Golden State Valkyries (w): 1 (50%)
Biggest win Indiana Fiver (Zh) 90:82 (23.05 00:30 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 178 goals (88:90, 29.05 03:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

29.05 03:00 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
88:90
Golden State Valkyries (Zh)
23.05 00:30 МСК USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
90:82
Golden State Valkyries (Zh)