WNBA
Toronto (w) - Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Vashington Mistiks (Zh) — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh)): model 49% · market 53% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Toronto (w) 47.2%, win Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 52.8%. Model favourite — Vashington Mistiks (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 15 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vashington Mistiks (Zh).
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / 2 1.82
- Glicko: Toronto (w) 47.2% / Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 52.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:7/7 ready
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 47% | 53% | 83:85 | ТМ 171.5 | Победитель матча - Вашингтон Мистикс (П2) |
| DeepSeek | 30% | 70% | 89:96 | ТБ 210.5 | Победа Вашингтон Мистикс (П2) |
| ChatGPT | 46% | 54% | 83:86 | ТМ 170.5 | П2 Washington Mystics за 1.88 |
| Claude | 45% | 55% | 78:82 | ТМ 162.5 | П2 (победа Washington Mystics) |
| Qwen | 48% | 52% | 84:87 | ТБ 169.5 | Тотал больше 169.5 очков |
| Kimi | 46% | 54% | 82:85 | ТМ 165.5 | П2 Washington Mystics |
| GLM 5.2 | 42% | 58% | 75:82 | ТМ 170.5 | Washington Mystics -1.5 |
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Toronto (w) - Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 +1.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П1 +2.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 170.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 171 | — | — | 1.91 52.4% |
| ТБ 171.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.89 52.9% |
| ТБ 172 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 172.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТМ 170.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТМ 171.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| ТМ 172.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.01 49.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% |
Toronto (w)
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Dallas Vings (Zh)
Dallas Vings (Zh)
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
Siettl Storm (Zh)
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyToronto (w) - Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
Match history
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)