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WNBA
WNBA
05.07.2026 21:30 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Basketball
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
49 : 62
Finished
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Golden State Valkyries (w) — 59%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vashington Mistiks (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w) 5 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Golden State Valkyries (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / 2 1.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 39.3%
2 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
#8GP 2111-10PPG 81.2OPP 84.2
Golden State Valkyries (w)
#3GP 2013-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

0Wins4
0.0%Win %100.0%
71.5Points per game82.8
82.3Offensive rating93.3
95.2Defensive rating80.6
-11.3Point differential11.3
60.0Assists60.8
89.3Rebounds102.0
29.3%3-pointers, %36.0%

Team form

Vashington Mistiks (Zh)

Coach: Mike Thibault

Overall WWLLW Net -5.8
Home WWLW Net +2.8
Away LW Net -12.0
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Overall WWWLL Net +9.8
Home WWWL Net +15.5
Away LW Net -0.9

Team stats

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) Overall · Home/Away Golden State Valkyries (w)
52.6%H 50.0% · A 54.6%Win %65.0%H 76.9% · A 42.9%
-5.8H 2.8 · A -12.0Point differential9.8H 15.5 · A -0.9
82.8H 89.1 · A 78.2Points per game82.8H 83.3 · A 81.7
85.7H 87.8 · A 84.2Conceded77.9H 75.5 · A 82.1
44.2%H 45.5% · A 43.3%FG, %40.9%H 42.0% · A 38.7%
31.6H 25.0 · A 36.41st half75.0H 76.9 · A 71.4
84.0H 89.0 · A 80.4Pace78.4H 78.4 · A 78.5
99.5H 94.0 · A 103.9Offensive rating104.7H 104.7 · A 104.7
102.9H 97.2 · A 107.5Defensive rating98.5H 98.5 · A 98.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
82.8 Points per game 82.8
57.9%
O 79.5
55.0%
57.9%
O 80.5
55.0%
52.6%
O 81.5
50.0%
52.6%
O 82.5среднее
45.0%
52.6%
O 83.5
45.0%
47.4%
O 84.5
40.0%
42.1%
O 85.5
40.0%
31.6%
O 86.5
40.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
5.3%
O 108.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 109.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 110.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 111.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 112.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 113.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 114.5
0.0%
5.3%
O 115.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Vashington Mistiks (Zh) — / Golden State Valkyries (w) 42.5

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
26.3%
O 40.5
75.0%
21.1%
O 41.5
65.0%
21.1%
O 42.5среднее
60.0%
21.1%
O 43.5
60.0%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 42.2 / Golden State Valkyries (w) 40.3

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) Total (over) Golden State Valkyries (w)
57.9%
O 40.5
45.0%
57.9%
O 41.5среднее
45.0%
57.9%
O 42.5
40.0%
47.4%
O 43.5
35.0%

Lineups and availability

Injuries and lineups

Washington Mystics
  • Sonia Citron GOut
    out
Golden State Valkyries
  • Miela Sowah GOut
    Sowah (coach's decision) won't play Saturday in Atlanta.
  • Ashten Prechtel FOut
    Prechtel (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Dream.
  • Iliana Rupert COut
    Rupert is pregnant, and the Valkyries have filed for a replacement contract ahead of the 2026 season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports Thursday.

Injury and player availability data: ESPN. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Back-to-back / no rest
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 3)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Totals and pace

Team scoring

Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
164.4 points/match (over 10)
  • Scores: 79.3
  • Concedes: 85.1
Golden State Valkyries (w)
156.9 points/match (over 10)
  • Scores: 79.4
  • Concedes: 77.5
Total line: 159.5 · projection from form: 160.7 · Over in 55% of recent games

Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Vashington Mistiks (Zh) - Golden State Valkyries (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.59 market consensus · line only
1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 159.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 159.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Leon
П1 +3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П1 +4.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 — 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet
ТБ 159.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 159.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
П1 2.35 42.6% 2.47 40.5%
П2 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
W L W L L
02.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 81:76 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
14.06 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 64:86 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
12.06 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 86:85 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
08.06 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 76:78 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
06.06 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 77:109 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
76.8 Scored
86.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Golden State Valkyries (w)
W W W L L
04.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 88:83 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
13.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 76:72 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
10.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 87:81 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
06.06 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 79:84 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
04.06 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 84:87 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
82.8 Scored
81.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage