WNBA
WNBA International
17.07.2026 23:30 UTC
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WNBA

Chicago Sky (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w)

International Basketball
Chicago Sky (w)
Chicago Sky (w)
- : -
Not started
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chicago Sky (w)54%

1 · Chicago Sky (w)53.5%
2 · Los Angeles Sparks (w)46.5%

Model estimate: win Chicago Sky (w) 53.5%, win Los Angeles Sparks (w) 46.5%. Model favourite — Chicago Sky (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chicago Sky (w) (odds1.81) Score 81:79 Under 176.5 (odds2.40) Handicap H1 -1.5 (odds1.90) confidence 54%
  • Chikago (zh): forma VPV (2-1)
  • Los-Andzheles (zh): forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Chikago (zh): probability 54% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 176.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 176.5 (odds 2.40)
  • Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago Sky (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chicago Sky (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 51.3%
2 48.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.80 → 1.80
Pobeditel P2 2.00 → 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Chicago Sky (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chicago Sky (w) 52.6% 53.5% market and model agree
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 47.4% 46.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.5% / 46.5% probabilities
Rating 1,704 / 1,558 Chicago Sky (w) / Los Angeles Sparks (w)
RD 255 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,195-2,214 / 1,154-1,961 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · no value · model 46.5%
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 53.5%
Total
Over 176.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 177.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.12 47.2%
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 2.12 47.2%
2.30 43.5%
2.65 37.7%
2.65 37.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.42 70.4%
1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 176.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 177.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 178.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 179.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 180.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 181.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 182.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 185.5 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8%
Under 182.5 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 184.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 185.5 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2
2026-07-11 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 87:102 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2025-06-29 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 92:85 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2025-06-25 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 97:86 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2025-05-25 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 78:91 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
2024-09-07 · Chikago Skay (Zh) 92:78 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Chicago Sky (w)
W L W
15.07 16:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 95:90 Sietl (zh)Sietl (zh)
11.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 87:102 Los-Andzheles (zh)Los-Andzheles (zh)
08.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Chicago Sky (w) 77:66 Finiks (zh)
2 Wins
1 Losses
86.3 Scored
86.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
L L W W
15.07 17:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 87:96 Minnesota (zh)
13.07 23:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 92:101 Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks
11.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 102:87 Chikago (zh)Chikago (zh)
09.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks (w) 106:92 Indiana (zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
96.8 Scored
94.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChicago Sky (w) - Los Angeles Sparks (w)

Chicago Sky (w)
1 matches total
Los Angeles Sparks (w)
Chicago Sky (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Los Angeles Sparks (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Los-Andzheles (zh) 87:102 (11.07 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 189 goals (87:102, 11.07 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

11.07 02:00 UTC WNBA
Chikago (zh)
87:102
Los-Andzheles (zh)