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WNBA USA

03.05.2026 21:00 UTC

Finished

WNBA

Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty

USA Basketball

Connecticut Sun

- : -

Finished

New York Liberty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - New York Liberty May 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Connecticut Sun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / 2 8.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%

1 89.5%

2 10.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun

#7GP 142-12

New York Liberty

#1GP 2012-8

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

39Wins34

76.3Points on average76.8

Head-to-head matches: 73 · average total 153.1 (points)

Team form

Connecticut Sun

2-8LWLLLWLLLL

points for 77.3points against 85.8

New York Liberty

2-3WLLWL

points for 87.8points against 83.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 03.05.2026 21:00 UTC

Match center