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WNBA
WNBA USA
16.06.2026 00:00 UTC
16.06.2026 00:00 UTC
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WNBA

USA

Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces

USA Basketball
Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings
- : -
Not started
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces June 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dallas Wings. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 89.1%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Dallas Wings
#4GP 1911-8
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 1914-5

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

24Wins42
36.4%Win %63.6%
80.8Points per game84.7
96.8Offensive rating93.2
101.5Defensive rating88.9
-3.9Point differential3.9
62.1Assists59.0
119.2Rebounds114.2
30.8%3-pointers, %39.3%

Team form

Dallas Wings
Overall LWWWW Net +7.3
Home WWW Net +18.0
Away LWW Net -1.7
Las Vegas Aces

Coach: Becky Hammon

Overall WWWWL Net +9.5
Home WWL Net -12.0
Away WWL Net +21.7

Team stats

Dallas Wings Overall · Home/Away Las Vegas Aces
63.6%H 60.0% · A 66.7%Win %72.7%H 50.0% · A 85.7%
7.3H 18.0 · A -1.7Point differential9.5H -12.0 · A 21.7
88.2H 84.8 · A 91.0Points per game90.2H 86.5 · A 92.3
84.6H 75.8 · A 91.8Conceded85.5H 92.5 · A 81.4
45.2%H 43.0% · A 47.0%FG, %48.0%H 44.0% · A 50.3%
45.5H 80.0 · A 16.71st half—H 75.0
80.9H 78.2 · A 83.2Pace84.0H 82.9 · A 84.6
108.8H 112.0 · A 106.3Offensive rating108.2H 109.0 · A 107.8
104.4H 107.4 · A 102.0Defensive rating102.5H 103.3 · A 102.1

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Dallas Wings Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
88.2 Points per game 90.2
63.6%
O 85.5
63.6%
54.5%
O 86.5
63.6%
54.5%
O 87.5
54.5%
54.5%
O 88.5
54.5%
54.5%
O 89.5srednee
54.5%
54.5%
O 90.5
54.5%
45.5%
O 91.5
45.5%
36.4%
O 92.5
45.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Dallas Wings Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
18.2%
O 101.5
9.1%
18.2%
O 102.5
9.1%
18.2%
O 103.5
9.1%
9.1%
O 104.5
9.1%
9.1%
O 105.5
0.0%
9.1%
O 106.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Dallas Wings 42.8 / Las Vegas Aces 45.7

Dallas Wings Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
45.5%
O 42.5
63.6%
36.4%
O 43.5
54.5%
36.4%
O 44.5srednee
54.5%
27.3%
O 45.5
54.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Dallas Wings 45.4 / Las Vegas Aces 44.5

Dallas Wings Total (over) Las Vegas Aces
54.5%
O 43.5
54.5%
54.5%
O 44.5srednee
54.5%
54.5%
O 45.5
54.5%
54.5%
O 46.5
45.5%

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Match center
Start 16.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 102.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.25 44.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.60 38.5%
2.80 35.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.20 45.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
2.55 39.2%
2.45 40.8%
2.10 47.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.53 65.4%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 102.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 160.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 162.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 163.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 164.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 165.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 168.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 169.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 170.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 171.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 172.5 3.15 31.8%
Over 173.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 174.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 175.5 2.75 36.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.34 42.7% 1.04 96.2%
1.66 60.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2% 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Dallas Wings
L
14.06 00:30 UTC WNBA
Dallas Wings 83:84 Portland FirePortland Fire
0 Wins
1 Losses
83.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Las Vegas Aces
W
12.06 02:00 UTC WNBA
Las Vegas Aces 105:89 Portland FirePortland Fire
1 Wins
0 Losses
105.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces

Dallas Wings
1 matches total
Las Vegas Aces
Dallas Wings: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Las Vegas Aces: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Dallas Wings 95:87 (29.05 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 182 goals (95:87, 29.05 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

29.05 00:00 UTC WNBA
Dallas Wings
95:87
Las Vegas Aces